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Latest results
*~*~*~*~*~* Georgia 37-15 Auburn(-13,5) ...WIN Nebraska 28-27 Texas A&M(-1,5) ...WIN Arkansas(-5,6) 31-14 Tennessee ...WIN Miami Dolphins 13-10 Kansas City Chiefs (-3,0) ...WIN San Diego Chargers(-2,5) 49-41 Cincinnati bengals ...WIN Philadelphia Eagels(-7,0) 27-3 Washington redskins ...WIN Green Bay Packers 23-17 Minnesota Vikings(-6,5) ...WIN New York Jets 17-14 New England Patriots(-10,5) ...WIN Dallas Cowboys(-7,5) 27-10 Arizona Cardinals ...WIN New York Giants(-2,5) 20-38 Chicago bears ...Loss ...Still to come Carolina Panthers(-9,5)-Tampa Bay Bucs |
And the Panthers go up 14 with 3:30 left to make the spread. Do you do this for a living?
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Yeah they won it 24-10!
Actually I don't, although I have been making money consistently for quite a few years, most of it on long term bets, winning The French league for 6 years in a row with Lyon and stuff like that. You have to KNOW what you're betting on otherwise its just throwing money out in the long run. I'm one who believes that the maximum someone should bet is 10% of what they have spare. The only reason I actually am recommending football at the moment is because i follow it in depth and therefore have a clear view on it. I also follow hockey, buts its generally a little less predictable on a day to day basis, although i could recommend division winners, but i suppose thats more or less common knowledge. I actually have few locals who look in on here every week and follow more or less my system, so the certainly made some good money this week. I hope some Cellarites cashed in this week, thats the reason i made this thread in the first place! We got a big one coming up on Saturday, Ohio state vs Michigan...I don't know what the spread is yet, but if its not huge, I'll definetly be recommending Ohio State to take it. |
It's me from the convenience store. Nice one. I won 150 on one ticket, 7 games. I also won 3 other tickets. If it wasn't for NYG losing to Chicago this would be a perfect week in NFL football. Congrats.
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Thanks, see you on the weekend! |
NFL Pointspread
*~*~*~*~*~*~* Oakland Raiders-Kansas City Chiefs(-9,5) Its just a matter of time before the Chiefs miss the train to the playoffs, they're just not good enough, I don't even think they can beat this spread, but based on the fact that Oakland is going through some serious problems, I suggest leaving this game alone. Cincinnati Benglas-New Orlean Saints(-3,5) So the Bengals woke up last week, but the Chargers were too good for them. The Saints have 2 amazing running backs that will both have great games against these Bengals, but I honestly can't imagine the Cincinnati Bengals loosing this game, not with this offence against THAT defence, no way...and the security in this one is the -3,5 pointspread for the Saints, that just dosen't make any sense. Bet on the Bengals Pitchberg Steelers(-3,5)-Clevland browns I'll just have to keep repeating myself about both these teams. The Clevland Browns are a good team, the Pitchberg Steelers are not a good team, so where does this -3,5 points come from? Of course... the Steelers won the supebowl last year...well, let me tell you something! Pitchberg last year, wasn't half the team they were 3 years ago. Anyone who knows football and has followed the team will tell you the same thing.... I suppose what opened the closed door for the steelers last year was that C.Palmer injury early in the game in what would have been a devistating defeat for the Steelers. Anyhow, the Steelers have just gotten worse, and I can't see daylight in this decade. Fact is, the Browns are a better team, at home and underdogs, so yeah.... Bet on the Browns! Tennessee Titans-Philadelphia Eagels(-13,5) Mcnabb looks like he's back to his amazing old self, so all looks well for my favorite team. I expect the Eagels to win this without any adventures, but the 13.5 pointspread looks like its too much. Keep in mind that the Eagels travel to Indianapolis next week in what will be the match of the year, the best quarterbacks in the NFL, head to head. So I would guess that if Philadelphia secures an early lead, they'd be looking to take it easy an avoid injuries for next week, so no, this is no bet. Atlanta Falcons-Baltimore Ravens(-6,5) Neither of these teams impress me at all. Obviously the Ravens have a better defence, but i don't think they'll have such an easy time against this unpredictable Falcons offence. This game has too many if's in it to be able to make a wager, so avoid. St.Louis Rams-Carolina Panthers(-7,5) Carolina looked pretty good Monday night against the struggling bucs. The difference between the TB Bucs and the St.Louis Rams though, is the fact that the Rams can score points, and do so in every game. Some people have these Panthers pegged for a shot at the supebowl! I think thats crazy...They should win their division, but thats about it. 7,5 points is too big of a pointspread. Bet on the Rams Buffalo Bills-Houston Texans(-2,5) Now this is an early Christmas present. Houston got their final win of the season last week. They're now looking at getting the highest draft pick that they can get. Regardless, the Buffalo Bills with or without McGahee, have an easy outing and will get an easy win. The fact that Houston is listed as the favorites here is absurd. Bet on the Bills!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! New England Patriots(-7,0)-Green Bay Packers Tom Brady ain't the story here, the Green Bay Packers are! Everyones looking to find a way to stop Green, and Favre has the freedom to throw, and he's finally got a team he can work with, 2 WR's who look superb, these Packers are playing some football, forget about last year. The Patriots aren't all that, they weren't last year either. They just didn't have any opponents.... -7,0 points? Bet on the Packers Washington Redskins-Tampa Bay Bucs(-3,5) Another Christmas present!! The worst team in the NFL is -3,5 point favorites against the Washington Redskins! So, Portis is out.....if he was playing, the redskins would win this by 17! ..and Brunnel is out, IMO, that dosen't make any diference whatsoever, it'll probably do the team some good, Washington's gonna run it anyways, and despite the fact that the Bucs are pretty good against the run, the question remains, will the bucs score 3 points this week? Well, maybe they will, but that still won't cover the spread! Bet on the Redskins!!!!! Chicago bears(-7,5)-New York Jets The Bears actually showed up in New York last week and showed their superiority, and I guess you could probably see it coming, based on the fact that they might be facing them in the playoffs. The Bears will not be playing 100% all through the season though, they don't have to, and they'd be stupid to, expect them to lose 1 more match at least this year. I hope it comes this week, as I like the Jets, but never put your money on who you cheer for, just to cheer, leave this one alone. Minnesota Vikings-Miami Dolphins(-3,0) Nice couple wins for the Dolphins, they needed that! Minnesota stepped it up a bit against the Packers, but favre and the gang proved too good for them. Miami will probably win this, and most likely cover the spread, but i don't think its that safe. Detroit Lions-Arizona Cardinals(-2,5) This will be a high scoring game with this amazing Arizona offence, and their terrible defence. I expect Arizona to win it, and with such a small spread, I'm almost tempted to take it, but who am I kidding? Arizona's main problem is on the sidelines....Avoid! Seattle Seahawks(-6,5)-San Fransisco 49ers Holmgreen will get the win here, without a doubt, don't be fooled by the 49ers 4 wins, they are a very very bad team. Ok so Seattle have some major problems, and because of that, i'll leave this one alone, but whatever you do, don't be betting on SF. Indianapolis Colts(-2,5)-Dallas Cowboys They had the Colts 2,5 point underdogs against the Patriots and the Broncos. These Cowboys are far better than both of those teams, so now the Colts are the -2,5 point favorites. If the Colts are gonna lose this year, it'll be this week against the Dallas Cowboys or next week against the Eagels. Its not like they're under pressure or anything with the Jaguars 4 games back. No matter how much I hate to bet against P.Manning. Bet on the Cowboys San Diego Chargers-Denver Broncos(-2,5) This is a huge game betwen two playoffs teams. The San Diego Chargers are a better team. LT knows that a win here will almost secure them in the playoffs, and he won't need to get 4 touchdowns here like he did last week. San Diego will win the game, and based on the fact that they're -2,5 point underdogs. Bet on the Chargers! New York Giants-Jacksonville Jaguars(-3,0) The Jaguars are not the Bears, and no matter how much I'd like to see them win, to set my Eagels up to win this division, its just not gonna happen. The New York Giants are for real, and are by far, a better team than the Jaguars. Now Strahan is gonna be missed for the Giants, but this matchup is the Giants offence against the jaguars defence, and no matter how i look at it, the giants will win. Add the fact that the Jaguars are -3,0 point favorites. Bet on the Giants!!! |
College football
*~*~*~*~*~* Syracuse at home against Conneticut. I've watched a lot of Syracuse matchups this year, and they've played some really good football against teams that were a lot better than Conneticut, I'm really impressed with their offence, and I think they're gonna beat this team by a bundle, and they have motive as well. Their win pays 2,30.. take it! Michigan@Ohio State It dosen't get much better than this! I feel kinda silly talking about this game as there are various opinions on this one and it is one of the most talked about subject in sports in N.America these days, but i must! What does this game really come down to? Michigans defence against this super Ohio State offence. Having watched them both with an open mind , i have to say that there isn't really any competition It won't be as easy as the Texas game, but lets be real, Ohio State IS the #1 team in the country, and come Saturday Michigan will not be #2, and they really aren't now, i mean , not really. Everyone was so impressed with the predictable win over the dodgy Irish that I just so happened to call. Ohio State will win, the 3,5 pays 1,60 and that looks like the best way to wager on this event. I mean the 6,5 spread pays what? 1,70? ..so as you can see, this is not a pointspread kinda game. N.H.L Hockey *~*~*~*~*~* I must mention tommorow's Buffalo Sabres @ Ottawa Senators matchup. They've got the Sabres heavy favorites, and thats just not realistic, not with their goalie "Miller" out. Hell, even if he was playing, 1,95 on Ottawa is a gift. Ottawa will win this division no matter how it looks like at the moment, and its matches like this that will bring them there. |
Latest Results
*~*~*~*~*~* Syracuse 20-14 Conneticut WIN=2,30 Ohio State 42-39 Michigan Loss=1,60 Ottawa Senators 4-1 Buffalo Sabres WIN=1,95 Cincinnati Bengals 31-16 New Orlean Saints(-3,5) WIN Pitchberg Steelers(-4,5) 24-20 Clevland Browns WIN Carolina Panthers(-7,5) 15-0 St.Louis Rams Loss Buffalo Bills 24-21 Houston Texans(-2,5) WIN New England Patriots(-7,0) 35-0 Green Bay packers Loss Washington Redskins 17-20 Tampa Bay Bucs(-3,5) WIN Dallas Cowboys 21-14 Indianapolis Colts(-2,5) WIN San Diego Chargers 35-27 Denver Broncos WIN The Steelers-Browns game i actually won, and quite a bit of money off of it. I have the 4,5 spread here, and it seems wherever i look there was a 4,5 spread. I dunno where i got that 3,5 Tuesday night, but thats a WIN for whoever actually wagered on it. .....Still to come *~*~*~*~*~* New York Giants-Jacksonville Jaguars(-3,0) |
McNabb gets a blown ACL. But the worse of it is how the Eagles failed to respond as every game becomes a must-win. They still have a pretty good defense but the Eagles are clearly not the team they were two years ago. A ridiculous number of drops and missed tackles for the last three weeks has local sports talk radio wondering whether Andy Reid hasn't lost the interest of the team.
The wheel's not completely off, but it's wobbling bad. I wouldn't bet on this team for a while until they find some legs. Westbrook et al might be able to put enough together to beat some bad teams. But not Indy after a loss. Dammit. |
The season is over for our beloved Eagels.
The division is hard enough as it is.. Without Mcnabb, its hopeless. It looks like a Chicago Bears vs (Chargers or Colts) Superbowl |
N.F.L Pointspread
*~*~*~*~*~*~*~* Miami Dolphins(-2,5)-Detroit Lions They've got this one pretty much right, Miami is a much better team than the Detroit Lions, especially their defence. One way or another, the Dophins will secure a lead and then run it at them with Brown, their defence will do the rest. Look for the Miami Dolphins to win their 4th in a row here, the 2,5 is a very small spread to cover. Bet on the Dolphins Tampa Bay Bucs-Dallas Cowboys(-10,5) Poor Bucs here, they'e got the run all taken care of, the only problem is that julius jones hasn't been muh of a threat all year...and since Romo came in, no one can stop the pass. The Dallas Cowboys seems to be one of the only threats to the Bears reaching the superbowl. Tampa Bay gets my vote for worst team in the NFL, set aside my respect for Kiffin. The 10,5 points is never a factor in such a miss-match... Bet on the Cowboys! Denver broncos(-2,5)-Kansas City Chiefs There is no competition here. KC is NOT even remotely close to the team they were last year, and the Denver Broncos are pretty much just as good. They need to claim that AFC Wildcard slot, and this is probably their most important game after last weeks home defeat at the hands of the superior Chargers. Easy win for Denver, the 2,5 spread is small. Bet on the Broncos! Jacksonville Jaguars(-3,5)-Bufalo Bills Jacksonville desperatly needs this win, it won't come easy, thats for sure. I'm really tempted to take the Bills on the spread, and i may just do so come Sunday morning, but for now, i'll leave it alone, as I'm not quite sure if the Bills have the passion or motive to win this one. Houston Texans-New York Jets(-6,5) Oh my, the Jets are gonna demolish these texans, and beat this spread easily scoring multiple touchdowns. I'm sure the Texans will score, but these guys still have a chance to make the playoffs! They're certainly gonna demonstrate to this home crowd how super their offence is. 6,5 points will easily be covered by theNew York Jets Bet on the Jets! Pitchberg Steelers-Baltimore ravens(-3,0) The Ravens are obviously the superior team here, i can't see either teams scoring many points in this one, therefore that spread is kind of unattractive. Leave this one alone. Cincinatti Bengals (-3,5)-Clevland browns OK, so the browns are good, but Hello! They're not that good! They could play this one 100 times and the Bengals would still come out on top...the Browns have nothing to run at them, and will find it very difficult to score... the Cincinatti Bengals on the other hand, well, we've seen what their offence is all about! Chad Johnson catching for over 400 yards these past 2 weeks, this teams on fire! The 3,5 points can be kinda tricky, but i can't imagine this one being close. Bet on the Bengals Arizona cardinals-Minnesota Vikings(-6,5) The 6,5 spread is so wrong, I mean the way the Vikings have been playing. But you can't go the other way either, not with that Head Coach. Leave this one alone. San Fransisco 49ers-St.louis Rams(-5,5) The spread looks just about right here. I may be leaning towards the homes team, but not enough to wager on it. New Orlean Saints-Atlanta Falcons(-3,0) Erase the first game between these two in New Orleans, pretend it never happened, cause it really didn't. I mean, like look at the circumstances it was played under. You Knew the Saints were gonna get a gimme. The Falcons simply got to relax that week. Reality has it. that the Falcons a beter team, and should win this. However i will avoid, as the Falcons are a very unpredictable team. Carolina Panthers(6,5)-Washington Redskins Some games at this point of the year simply become pointless to gamble on. You know the Redskins aren't gonna kill themselves, I mean, you've got a great team, the year is over, and then you stat looking at the players that you can get in the upcoming draft. Sure the Panthers will win this, and they will surpass the Saints in their division and take first place. The Redskins are a running team, Panthers will be looking to kill the clock, this one should be over before all the others, certainly don't be betting on it. Oakland Raiders-Sand Diego Chargers(-14,5) This is an easy week if I've ever seen one for the Chargers. I've watched quite a few Chargers games this year, and one of the things i've noticed about them, is that when they're up, they rest Tomlinson as much as possible, yet still run the ball, and they do that up the middle systematically, almost not caring about the first down, and then punt it away. Especially now that they've got one foot in the playoffs, you can be 100% sure that thats what they'll be doing. I'm almost tempted to recomend the Raiders here. but my point was for us to avoid games like this. Chicago bears-New England Patriots(-3,0) I'm gonna go out on a limb here and predict that the Chicago bears play with a little passion here and show their overwhelming superiority against the Patriots. If they play 75%, they're not only gonna beat this spread, but they'll get an EASY WIN! Bet on the Bears!!!!!!!! New york giants(-3,0)-Tennessee Titans What are we even talking about here? Bet on the Giants!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Philadelphia Eagels-Indianapolis Colts(9,5) Seasons over for the Eagels, thats so sad, this would have been an amazing matchup! I think the Eagels defence are gonna have their hands full against perfect Manning, We're gonna lose! Lets not forget though that the Colts will be taken it easy from here on out, so you got to stay away from them pointspreads, avoid! Green Bay Packers-Seattle Seahawks(-10,5) Favre didn't look to good last week, taking it upon himself to make the plays since the Patriots found a way to finally stop Green. The seahwks haven't stopped Anything all year. I predict that the Green Bay Packers offencive machine should start running again, and I think they'll have a go at actually winning this game...10,5 ponts? Bet on the Packers! |
Latest Results
*~*~*~*~*~* Miami Dolphins(-2,5) 27-10 Detroit Lions WIN Dallas Cowboys(10,5) 38-10 Tampa Bay Bucs WIN Denver Cowboys(-2,5) 10-19 Kansas City Chiefs Loss New York Jets(-6,5) 26-11 Houston Texans WIN Cincinnati Bengals(-3,5) 30-0 Clevland Browns WIN Chicago Bears 13-17 New England Patriots(-3,0) Loss New York Giants(-3,0) 21-24 Tennessee Titans Loss .......Still to come Green Bay Packers - Seattle Seahawks(-10,5) |
Stanley cup & Confrences
*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~* Western Conference Winner Anaheim Ducks=4,50 Detroit Red Wings=6,50 Eastern Conference Winner Atlanta Thrashers=6,50 Ottawa Senators=9,00 STANLEY CUP You can select whatever you believe, but I do recomend the best team in hockey to actually win it, and thats the Anaheim Ducks! Anaheim Ducks=7,00 Detroit Red Wings=13,00 Atlanta Thrashers=13,00 Ottawa Senators=21,00 |
N.F.L Pointspreads
*~*~*~*~*~*~*~* Baltimore Ravens-Cincinnati Bengals(-3,0) Great divisional matchup! I'm not impressed by either team...well, if you were to take the Bengals offence and the Ravens Defence, and make that one team, you'd win the superbowl. But i'm afraid that if you were to take the Ravens offence with the Bengals defence, you'd have a winless team. Based on all the above. I'd have to say that the Cincinnati Bengals Offence wins the battle against this defence and will win the game and cover the -3,0 spread. Bet on the Bengals Minnesota Vikings-Chicago Bears(-9,5) The superbowl Bears at home in a contest I'm not sure they care about. Their first one this year was pretty close. The Vikings played well last week and look like they're getting out of that spell again. I'm quite unsure on how the Bears will play, avoid betting on this one. Arizona Cardinals-St.Louis Rams(-7,5) You got to stay away from those Cardinals till they sort out their problems there. I honestly believe that Arizona is a better team than the Rams. But, under the circumstances in Arizona, you simply cannot trust it. Indiannapolis Colts(-7,5)-Tennessee Titans At what point does a team actually go to a game to lose? When are the wins enough to actually not care about winning? It is pointless to gamble on it. San Fransisco 49ers-New Orlean Saints(-7,5) Both teams are worse than their record shows. The spread looks just about right, its too close for comfort. Atlanta Falcons-Washington Redskins(-2,5) Washington is seriously a great team! But their year is over like it or not. they're not gonna pull off another late miracle without portis...sorry, its not gonna happen. The Atlanta Falcons still have a fake reality glimpse at a playoffs spot. They should win his game, and he fact that the Redskins are 2,5 point favorites. I suggest taking advantage of this spread. Bet on the Falcons! Kansas City Chiefs(-6,5)-Clevland browns Don't be mistaking the Chiefs for a playoff team, they're not good enough. They ran into a broncos team with serious problems. The Browns on the other hand had nothing to run against the worst running defence in the nfl ...and of course lost the game without scoring a point. This weeks a whole different story. The Clevland Browns are a good team, and not only should they beat this -6,5 pointspread , but they should win this game! Bet on the Browns!!! Detroit Lions-New England Patriots(-14,5) The Lions are really bad...the Patriots should have an easy game. ..but do you really think Brady will care about winning by 15 or 14 points?. Avoid! San Diego Chargers(-6,5)-Buffalo Bills The San Diego Chargers are certainly starting to look like a superbowl team. The best RB in the game, a solid defence. Rivers is an outstanding quarter back given the tools that he has. Poor Bills should be in the playoff hunt, they certainly have the team for it. The spread looks pretty much right, it could go either way. New York Jets(-2,5)-Green Bay Packers In what should be a high scoring game, its very hard to pick a winner.Avoid! Jacksonville Jaguars-Miami Dolphins(-2,5) The Miami Dolphins should take advantage of the situation in Jacksonville and win their 5th in a row in this rivalry, 2,5 points is almost nothing. Bet on the Dolphins Houston Texans-Oakland Raiders(-3,0) The Raiders are a better team, the're in better shape, and they're at home, i'm pretty close to recomending them, but you never know with these kinda matches ...2 teams in a race for top pick in the draft..they both may end up competing to lose. Avoid Tampa Bay Bucs-Pitchberg Steelers(-7,5) Does it get any worse than this? talk about bad teams, this game is worse than the one above. :neutral: Dallas Cowboys(-6,5)-New York Giants Great matchup, this could be for top spot! No matter how you look at it though, the spread is so wrong. The New York Giants defence is one of the best in the NFL, its been like that for the past 2 years. The Cowboys will not score so easily against these guys. Although young Manning is not that good, he does have a lot of options. Tiki will get the ball a lot and try to run outside with it, and he should have success. The score shouldn't run as high as some might expect. The 6,5 points are huge in a match that is just as likely to end up a win for NY. Bet on the Giants! Seattle Seahawks-Denver Broncos(-3,0) So we have anew QB coming in for the Broncos. I have no idea what condition he's in, so this is hardly one to wager on. ...and for those who are having dreams about the Seahawks making the superbowl? ....wake up! its not gonna happen. Carolina Panthers(-4,5)-Philadelphia Eagels This will be close..Carolina's gonna have a hard time scoring against this defence. The Eagels can really hurt the Panthers with a win here. This is certainly not the kinda game I'd recomend, but given that its Monday night football, My Eagels are plaing, with a shot at it, as the matchups are favourable. Bet on the Eagels |
Latest Results
*~*~*~*~*~*~* Cincinnati Bengals(-3,0) 13-7 Baltimore Ravens ....WIN Atlanta Falcons 24-14 Washington Redskins(-2,5) ....WIN Clevland Browns 31-28 Kansas City Chiefs(-6,5) ....WIN Miami Dolphins(-2,5) 10-24 Jacksonville Jaguars ....Loss New York Giants 20-23 Dallas Cowboys(-6,5) ....WIN .....Still to come Philadelphia Eagels-Carolina Panthers(-4,5) |
Latest Results
*~*~*~*~*~*~* Cincinnati Bengals(-3,0) 13-7 Baltimore Ravens ....WIN Atlanta Falcons 24-14 Washington Redskins(-2,5) ....WIN Clevland Browns 31-28 Kansas City Chiefs(-6,5) ....WIN Miami Dolphins(-2,5) 10-24 Jacksonville Jaguars ....Loss New York Giants 20-23 Dallas Cowboys(-6,5) ....WIN Philadelphia Eagels 27-24 Carolina Panthers(-4,5) ....WIN |
N.F.L Pointsreads
*~*~*~*~*~*~*~* Clevland Browns- Pitchberg Steelers (-7.5) This is really against basic logic to recomend a team that may be concentrating mostly on the upcoming draft. Despite my better judgment, since its the only Thursday game, I will go out on a limb and say that should both teams play with equal effort it will be a field goal game, therefore a Clevland Browns win on this massive 7,5 spread. Bet on the Browns Baltimore Ravens - Kansas City Chiefs (-2.5) This is such a big mistake, its not funny! If I was fixing this spread, I would make the Baltimore Ravens favorite at 6,5 or 7,5 points! With the Chiefs here favorite at -2,5 points, it is one of the best bets of the week! Bet on the Ravens!!! Atlanta Falcons (-3.5 ) - Tampa Bay Bucs Tricky 3,5 points here, as a 3 point win will be as good as any other for the Atlanta Falcons. But the fact is, that the Bucs cannot score, and the passion alone that the Falcons will have in this match-up should be enough to secure a touchdown lead and one way or another, and keep it. Bet on the Falcons Minnesota Vikings - Detroit Lions (-2.5) Sure this is lopsided, as the Vikings should be 2,5 point favorites, but when the Vikings are bad, they're really bad, so avoid this one. Tennessee Titans (-2,5) Houston Texans Vince is gonna be highlighted for this game, it is one for him to shine in. The Tennessee Titans will easily cover this 2,5 pointspread. Bet on the Titans New York Giants - Carolina Panthers (-3.0) There's a huge difference betweeen these two teams. The New York Giants are by far a better team on every level. Replace young Manning with any of 7 quarterbacks I can think of, and they are in NFC final for sure! there's also a security blanket of -3,0 points. I suggest you take it. Bet on the Giants! Indianapolis Colts ( -2.5) - Jacksonville Jaguars This may just be the final game of the regular season that the Indianapolis Colts play with effort. The effort will come in this one, because it seals it. The Jaguars will not be a factor this year, despite some people's earlier predictions. The 2,5 points will be very easy to cover for super Manning! Bet on the Colts! Philadelphia Eagels (-2.5) - Washington Redskins I'm an Eagels fan, but I'm realistic. The Eagels have a slim chance of making the playoffs, despite how possible it actually looks at the moment, and even more so, if the pull off a win this week, and even if the Eagels make the playoffs, they have no chance of getting to their goal, which is no other than the superbowl, not without Mcnabb. Best thing for the Franchise in my eyes, is a defeat this week, and next week, despite the economical consequence. Its time to assure #1 candidacy for the superbowl next year for the Eagels. And they will be should mcnabb finally last a whole year. Those who saw him this year, KNOW! Oakland Raiders - Cincinnati Bengals (-12.5) There is no suprise here, no matter how good the Raiders defence is, and no matter how they'll try to stop this Bengals offence, it will not be enough. The only weakness the Bengals have is that they can't stop the run. No matter how good of a running week the Raiders have, it will not be enough. This has Bengals written all over it, but the spread is a little big for my tastes at this time of the year. New England Patriots (-3.5) - Miami Dolphins Respect to the guys who formed this spread. Although they know Brown is out, they do not overestimate the Patriots as I would expect them to. Without Brown, the Dolphins hopes of a playoff birth have reached nil. Its time to look towards next year guys, nice try though! Avoid Green Bay Packers - San Fransisco 49ers (-6.5) Favre is really disapointing, I mean, it's really bad to see him making these decisions. BUT!!! He does have a chance to redeem himself this week against this High school pass defence! Green is a weapon most QB's envy of Favre, and will have another amazing week! Sure SF will score, but they won't win the game, not this week! Green Bay Packers all the way! The 6,5 spread is simply a bonus. Bet on the Packers!!! Seattle Seahawks (-3.5) - Arizona Cardinals If you actually wager on the Seahawks here, you gotta be pretty scared of this Cardinals offencive capability. The Seahawks defence is the reason that they are not a superbowl contender. Arizona of course has an obvious interest in the draft. therefore....Avoid! Buffalo Bills - New York Jets (-4.5) I really hope the Bills go to this game without motive, cause they really can hurt the Jets here.....for with a win, the Jets become odds on favorites to make it to the playoffs based on the schedule that remains for all the teams in the hunt. Fear here is, that the Bills are capable of doing the damage against the Jets should they try 100%. Avoid Denver Broncos - San Diego Chargers (-7.5) This game will probably seal my long term bet that the Chargers will win this division....a bet that was priced at 1,90 when i recomended it a few weeks back. The difference between the teams are huge, but I'm not sure if the Chargers passion will be present in this one. Its a luxury to lead a division like the Chargers do, a luxury that can afford avoiding key injuries for the upcoming playoffs. That IS what the Chragers are looking at right now. Avoid New Orlean Saints - Dallas Cowboys (-6.5) I got so disapointed when I saw the 6,5 spread on this one. I was hoping that they'd overestimate the Saint, so that I could take the Cowboys. Of course the Cowboys will win this game. But a win is a win, and with this spread, you gotta stay away. Chicago Bears (-6.5) - St Louis Rams If the Bears can avoid the Colts in the superbowl, they will easily be the favorite to win it. If there's a team that can stop LT, its the Bears. One of the luxuries the Bears do have though is balancing things out. They can afford to avoid injuries without caring so much about the result of a particular football game. So, until the playoffs...you must avoid any wager on them. |
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When judging a teams defence, you must add into consideration the kind of offence the team runs. Example, a passing offence will make a teams defencive numbers look pretty bad, that does not mean that this particular defence is worse than a defence who is accompanied by a team with a great running offence. This is the result of the limited time that goes by when running a passing game. The great running offence takes a lot of time off, which results in lesser chances for the other teams offence to score, not to mention extra resting time for the defence of a running offence. ~~One must also consider the opponents that the particular team has faced in order to judge a team. The best way to understand, is to watch, but also contemplate the politics of a franchise. Injured, resting, and probably more importantly for the weaker teams, the upcoming draft! *~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~* The Chicago Bears defence is by far the greatest in football, and its not just the numbers. Think Grossman all year, through good and bad. Brian Urlacher will wear a superbowl ring! The only team i can see beating the Bears when it counts, are the Indianapolis Colts. .......P.Manning, right now, is the greatest Quarter-back the game has ever seen, It's all happening right in front of our eyes. But P.Manning and the Colts, may not reach the superbowl to play the Bears. The San Diego Chargers hold a huge chunk of gold. That gold, is LaDainian Tomlinson. If it Ends up being a Colts vs Chargers A.F.C Final, I will not be wagering my money on Peyton, but on LaDainian. That scenario would have The Bears Favorites over the Chargers, as the Bears can limit the best running back in the game. Gates will be used, but i'm afraid the Chargers are weak in the recieving area to allow Rivers to excel to his greatest potential. The Bengals could be considered candidates as well, as long as they can avoid the Chargers, as the Chargers would run them over easily. If the Bengals meet the colts? their offence would have to have its greatest day of the year to upset what would be the heavy favorites Colts *~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~* |
.......Latest Results
Clevland Browns 7-27 Pitchberg Steelers(-7,5) ....Loss Baltimore Ravens 20-10 Kansas City Chiefs(-2,5) ....WIN Atlanta Falcons(-3,5) 17-6 Tampa Bay Bucs ....WIN Tennessee Titans(-2,5) 26-20 Houston Oilers ....WIN New York Giants 27-13 Carolina Panthers(-3,0) ....WIN Indianapolis Colts(-2,5) 17-44 Jacksonville Jaguars ....Loss Green Bay Packers 30-19 San Fransisco 49ers(-6,5) ....WIN |
Long term Bets
AFC West Division Winner San Diego Chargers = 1,90 = ....WIN ....Still to come English Premiership Champions Chelsea = 1,90 ...now 2,00 |
N.F.L Pointspread
*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~* San Francisco 49ers - Seattle Seahawks(-9,5) There is no doubt that Seattle has the edge here. But you cannot dissmiss the fight the San Fransisco 49ers will bring. Gore's running ability, in combination with Seahawks defencive inability will do 2 things: 1) Kill the clock 2) Score some points. The 9,5 points are huge here. Bet on the 49ers! Dallas Cowboys(-3,5) - Atlanta Falcons Good matchup, the Cowboys should win. You have to stay away from this one though. 3,5 points is a lot more tricky than you think. Cleveland Browns - Baltimore Ravens(-12,5) The Ravens aren't 12,5 point favorites here because they're that much better than the Browns. The Spread is there because the Browns have thrown their arms in the air this year, they've given up! Avoid Detroit Lions - Green Bay Packers(-6,5) The Spreads right on the money Avoid Houston Texans - New England Patriots(-12,5) Looks about right, Patriots will win, although they're not a super team. Next year? the Patriots will not take first place in this division. This is their final year. Jacksonville Jaguars(-3,5) - Tennessee Titans You didn't buy that win over the Colts, did you? Of course you didn't! Neither did the spread fixers! As I say at the top of this post, it is most dificult to predict winners, because this deep into the year, the ones who create the spreads are more aware! I would definetly reccomend the Titans if the spread was 7,5, but it isn't, so... Avoid! Miami Dolphins - Buffalo Bills (-1,5) Both these teams are really good. I have no idea who will win. Brown will be missed for the Dolphins, otherwise, I'd be tempted to reccomend them. Avoid this one. New York Jets - Minnesota Vikings(-3,0) No no no no no, you don't understand! The Jets should be the favorites here, cause they're gonna win it! The Vikings defence stops the run. The New York Jets throw the ball amazingly. It is a miss-match. Sure the Vikings will score, but the Jets will score more The -3,0 points are simply a bonus Bet on the Jets Washington Redskins - New Orleans Saints(-10,5) Free Money here, Saints might win it, but they won't run away with it. If Portis was playing, the Redskins would win this easily. This Saints team is full of holes, do not believe the Hype! Low scoring game. The Washington Redskins have just enough reason to play. The 10,5 points is HUGE. Bet on the Redskins Denver Broncos(-3,0) - Arizona Cardinals Arizona here will run into trouble with Champ Bailey. An Offence like Arizona's becomes crippled when the #1 reciever is not a target. If they throw in that direction, you'll be looking at a few interceptions. Ok, so the Denver Broncos are not that great, but should be able to get a win here. 3,0 isn't much Bet on the Broncos Philadelphia Eagels - New York Giants(-5,5) How exciting! My Eagels pulled off another win, and its great! The team is great, I'm simply not over-optimistic, as we are with a disadvantage without our Quarterback. I will watch of course, and Cheer for my Eagels, but I cannot put any money on my team, even with the 5,5 spread. The Giants are a better team. This one will be a low scoring game as both defences are solid. Kansas City Chiefs - San Diego Chargers(-9,5) The Chiefs might just run into a little luck this week. It is a great question what kind of game the Chargers will be bringing. Avoid the great teams like the Chargers until the playoffs. Cincinnati Bengals - Indianapolis Colts(-3,0) Wow! Super offencive battle, I really hope both teams come to play! I cannot contemplate the final result of this one. I can see the Bengals passion coming in here. I do not buy that the Colts played with any amount of passion last weak. Reality has these two teams superbowl contenders alongside the Chargers from the AFC. The Bengals are more of a dark horse because of their obvious inabilty to stop the run. I know this would be a fun game to wager on, but there are too many questions regarding motives to judge correctly. |
As the year progresses, there are less predictable games.
But I'm not buying any of what they're selling. The teams are what they are, the greatest teams in the game are resting on and off. A few weeks back, they were trying to sell the Panthers as a superbowl contender. Last week, they were trying to convince everyone about the Cowboys. This week, they're brainwashing us about the Saints. It's just not real! The Bears have been the #1 NFC contenders all along, and remain so. Don't believe the hype. Candidates to meet the Bears in the NFC final are the Cowboys and the Giants. Thats reality! |
It's sad to see the Eagles full of holes. It's not just McNabb - the D line is shot without Kearse and has real trouble with the run, the receivers have bad hands, the "west coast offense" contains not much west coast and not much offense. I can't imagine how they are going to stop Tiki Barber.
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It is sad Undertoad, thats why I was kinda hoping that we'd lose last week, so the franchise can focus on realistic things as opposed to the playoffs.
Its only a matter of time till we're out, and if by a miracle we squeeze in, it will be exciting, but we will witness a playoff loss for the Eagels. |
Hey, W.H.I.P., I just wanted to thank you for this thread. I'm not a betting type of person, but this thread is very interesting nevertheless. I especially like to see the results that you post after a weekend of games. I'm pretty impressed that you are able to pick these things so well. I always assumed that the "house" always knew everything and set the odds in such a way to guarantee their victory. I assumed that in such a rigged system, the only people who played were losers by definition. But you have intrigued me. I'm still not going to bet on anything, because I'm risk adverse, but I like this thread. Thanks.
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Correct me if I'm wrong, but technically betting on sports events is still illegal in most states, right? I honestly don't know.
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You would think that the "House" would know eh? Truth is, with the kinda speads they were giving out in the first week of the season, they had NO IDEA!!!! Week 2 was even better, they simply based everything on week one. Its been an amazing year, and its all based on their lack of knowledge. The reason why it is much harder now to predict winners on the spreads is because their finally starting to get them right. Betting succesfullly on spreads is basically finding the spread-fixers mistakes. You are wise not to gamble, as it is a house game. A patient gambler can make money when the oportunity presents itself. The N.F.L is winding down to its end, after that, oportunities will become very rare for gamblers as the NFL is like no other sport. Apart from predicting the winner of a game, I've also been hinting under's and over's quite succesfully. The only real wise bets after the NFL are long term ones as they are fixed on whatever false reality presents itself at that particular moment. Glatt Blessed Be |
The spread is not there to indicate who the house is going to win. It's there to equally divide the bets 50/50 between the two teams. The closer to a 50/50 split the house gets the bigger the guarantee they aren't going to lose while maximizing profit. This line will sometimes move throughout the week to influence how many bets are on each team. Vegas has more football knowledge and stats than any of us could ever hope to; when the spread seems lopsided it is not because the odds makers are dumb, it's because they want the bets split. This gives good opportunity for some winning, as W.HI.P has shown.
I like to keep an eye towards divisional matchups. Except in cases of extremely good teams (like San Diego) the games are played closely. A large spread between two heated rivals of different talent levels is often closer than anticipated. |
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Employment is the topic of discussion. I am aware that the spreads are used more of a guidance tool than anything else. So yes, they are not as stupid as they seem. Although they weren't that bright early on in the season either! A lot of guessing, and it cost them, there is no doubt about that! If it hadn't, I would not be in correspondence at the moment(Certainly nothing to do with Vegas). I suppose I could write(I'd need an editor,lol), but why work against them for next season when I can work for them! Quote:
I was kind of expecting a larger spread on the Jaguars-Titans rivalry, but no gift there! This theory works in other sports as well, not so much with divisional matchups, but local rivalries. The percentages of a smaller team beating or drawing with a stronger neighbour is overwhelming in almost all sports. |
If you work for them you can still bet with other agencies ;)
So when you bet what are you going for? Parlays? I was looking at moneyline but unless I'm mistaken with the moneyline at 110 for a winning team you'd have to pick the winner 90% of the time to even break even. That's pretty daunting in the era of parity where any team can win any game. I'm not willing to do that until I compile some stats on how often I can cherrypick select matchups and how often there is an upset in those games. Thanks for this thread. You've managed to spur me into retooling my picks spreadsheet for next year to factor in the odds and see if there is an area I can excel (bad pun) at. PostScriptium: Do you happen to keep (or know a place for) any statistics on things like divisional matchups or home field advantage? |
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First of all I put 3 matchups on each bet, each bet pays 7 times your money. I like to chose 7-8 games and bet them amongst each other in bets of 3's. in the case of 7 games, its 35 bets, for 8 games, its 56. This gives me the ease to lose a few matches and still have a hell of a pay day. The least Pay on any even nfl spread game is 170, 110 is simply not logical unless the opposing bet is at 350. I chose not to go to those edges, but just meet it at its leveled spread with even money on both sides. with single bets 2 out of 3 will give you a nice profit when the wager is respectful. Quote:
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I left out a couple games, so I'll post it all again with the additions.
N.F.L Pointspread *~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~* San Francisco 49ers - Seattle Seahawks(-9,5) There is no doubt that Seattle has the edge here. But you cannot dissmiss the fight the San Fransisco 49ers will bring. Gore's running ability, in combination with Seahawks defencive inability will do 2 things: 1) Kill the clock 2) Score some points. The 9,5 points are huge here. Bet on the 49ers! Dallas Cowboys(-3,5) - Atlanta Falcons Good matchup, the Cowboys should win. You have to stay away from this one though. 3,5 points is a lot more tricky than you think. Cleveland Browns - Baltimore Ravens(-12,5) The Ravens aren't 12,5 point favorites here because they're that much better than the Browns. The Spread is there because the Browns have thrown their arms in the air this year, they've given up! Avoid Pitchberg Steelers(-2,5) - Carolina Panthers This is obviously wrong, nothing happened to the panthers, they simply faced a superior Giants team and lost. So what is it that they're trying to say? that the Steelers are better than the Giants? Thats Insaine. This is a very very easy win for the Carolina Panthers, the fact that the Steelers are -2,5 point favorites is absurd! Bet on the Panthers! Tampa Bay Bucs - Chicago Bears(-14,5) This IS the most lopsided matchup of the year. The Best team in the NFL AT HOME, against the worst team in the NFL. The only reason I'm not recommending it is because the Bears haven't done much resting this year, and this is the perfect chance to do it. I would if i was the head coach. Detroit Lions - Green Bay Packers(-6,5) The Spreads right on the money Avoid Houston Texans - New England Patriots(-12,5) Looks about right, Patriots will win, although they're not a super team. Next year? the Patriots will not take first place in this division. This is their final year. Jacksonville Jaguars(-3,5) - Tennessee Titans You didn't buy that win over the Colts, did you? Of course you didn't! Neither did the spread fixers! As I say at the top of this post, it is most dificult to predict winners, because this deep into the year, the ones who create the spreads are more aware! I would definetly reccomend the Titans if the spread was 7,5, but it isn't, so... Avoid! Miami Dolphins - Buffalo Bills (-1,5) Both these teams are really good. I have no idea who will win. Brown will be missed for the Dolphins, otherwise, I'd be tempted to reccomend them. Avoid this one. New York Jets - Minnesota Vikings(-3,0) No no no no no, you don't understand! The Jets should be the favorites here, cause they're gonna win it! The Vikings defence stops the run. The New York Jets throw the ball amazingly. It is a miss-match. Sure the Vikings will score, but the Jets will score more The -3,0 points are simply a bonus Bet on the Jets St.Louis Rams - Oakland Raiders(-1,5) I can't see why either team would play to win. I suppose if you knew who wants to lose more, you could bet against them. I certainly can't take a chance on a game like this. Avoid Washington Redskins - New Orleans Saints(-10,5) Free Money here, Saints might win it, but they won't run away with it. If Portis was playing, the Redskins would win this easily. This Saints team is full of holes, do not believe the Hype! Low scoring game. The Washington Redskins have just enough reason to play. The 10,5 points is HUGE. Bet on the Redskins Denver Broncos(-3,0) - Arizona Cardinals Arizona here will run into trouble with Champ Bailey. An Offence like Arizona's becomes crippled when the #1 reciever is not a target. If they throw in that direction, you'll be looking at a few interceptions. Ok, so the Denver Broncos are not that great, but should be able to get a win here. 3,0 isn't much Bet on the Broncos Philadelphia Eagels - New York Giants(-5,5) How exciting! My Eagels pulled off another win, and its great! The team is great, I'm simply not over-optimistic, as we are with a disadvantage without our Quarterback. I will watch of course, and Cheer for my Eagels, but I cannot put any money on my team, even with the 5,5 spread. The Giants are a better team. This one will be a low scoring game as both defences are solid. Kansas City Chiefs - San Diego Chargers(-9,5) The Chiefs might just run into a little luck this week. It is a great question what kind of game the Chargers will be bringing. Avoid the great teams like the Chargers until the playoffs. Cincinnati Bengals - Indianapolis Colts(-3,0) Wow! Super offencive battle, I really hope both teams come to play! I cannot contemplate the final result of this one. I can see the Bengals passion coming in here. I do not buy that the Colts played with any amount of passion last weak. Reality has these two teams superbowl contenders alongside the Chargers from the AFC. The Bengals are more of a dark horse because of their obvious inabilty to stop the run. I know this would be a fun game to wager on, but there are too many questions regarding motives to judge correctly. |
Latest Results......
San Fransisco 49ers 24-14 Seattle Seahawks(-9,5) ....WIN Carolina Panthers 3-37 Pitchberg Steelers(-2,5) ....Loss New York Jets 26-13 Minnesota Vikings(-3,0) ....WIN Washington Redskins 16-10 New Orlean Saints(-10,5) ....WIN Denver Broncos(-3,0) 37-20 Arizona Cardinals ....WIN |
Pittsburgh decided to get serious just a little too late...
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It's not all Pittsburgh; Carolina has been doing terrible. There is no balance to their offensive scheme.
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Teams go through a hill...lets rewind a few years back ....look at what the Raiders were, and since have slid down the hill. The steelers are on their way down ...as i said at the start of the year, a .500 team or below this year and next year, below .300. next to come are the Patriots, they will start there slide down next year when they fail to win this division, and obviously miss the playoffs, and the year after that, a guarenteed 4th place. Quote:
How about them Eagels!!! Just take a second to imagine how the Eagels would look right about now with Donovan healthy! The Bears are lucky that we can't threaten them! |
Dawk was a monster out there. I love that guy. Darwin Walker found some game. The O-line had a huge day.
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This was our superbowl year! We could have won it. Right now we can simply live the dream, no matter how false it really is. I'm not negative by nature, I'm just tryna ground myself and be realistic. I mean the Eagels without Donovan, is sorta like the Bears without Brian. Still great teams, but heavy underdogs for the Superbowl. Our team has surpassed my expectaion already since the injury. What do you think Undertoad? How far will we go? |
Well, you talk about the hills and valleys across seasons, what amazes me is the hills and valleys during the season. It seems so rare for a team to carry across all 16 games with the same fire and personality, never mind just the same look, the same playbook. At the beginning of the season the Eagles were so absolutely dominating and every loss seemed so ridiculous. To beat the birds you had to have your kicker make an impossible 62-yard FG he's never made before.
Then, in midseason, so many different things seemed to go wrong at the same time! Stuff that worked right in September just blew a wheel out in November. In September they were rotating the entire D line; then with injuries, they had to stick to the same guys for a while, just when the offense was sputtering and leaving the D on the field too long. Now all these other teams seem like they might have peaked too early. Dawk said in last week's press conference, THAT was the REAL Eagles, not the crap you've been seeing recently. I don't know. But you're right, I love the Eagles defense, it has been a fantastic thing to watch for the last few years. How far will it go. So hard to know! You can call it better than I can, I'm sure! I hear the boys are -6.5 this week, for the third road conference game in a row. But you would not be surprised whatsoever to see the Eagle D pull another rabbit out of a hat! Yeah, I doubt it's a superbowl season without McNabb, but it's sure fun to watch! |
The Raiders collapse was an anomaly. Center went AWOL, very accurate QB retires, coach is nearly mutinied. Very bad situation. Plus you have the usual injury problems and player turnover. I think Uncle Al needs to up and die and quit choking the team. He's obviously lost his marbles. I mean Aaron fucking Brooks?! Come on. Not to mention this last week he was on TV responding to a question about the team losing by telling how much he likes women... WTF?!
Post salary cap a lot of teams do seem to be cyclical. The 49ers are a good example. They were way over the cap and slashed dramatically. Only now are they in good cap shape and have players (Gore, Smith) in place to start really building around. They are on an upswing. The Steelers of course are on a post Super Bowl downswing due to players leaving and having to shell out more to resign players - less cap space to work with. While I didn't expect Pittsburgh to win the big game again their drop off is rather sharp. Given their winning ways recently I think it's safe to say a large part of this was due to Big Ben's poor play at the beginning of the year. The only team on the winning side that's been able to avoid that "hill" is the Patriots. They've been able to hold it off a long time but it's creeping up on them. Last year Carolina suffered a ton of injuries. There were thought highly of going into this year - not only by me, but by locals and nearly every sporting publication with predictions in it. I mean, why not? They got Peppers and Smith. Delhomme may not be THE guy but he's competant enough. Plus they added some players like Keyshawn. Sadly I don't think they are a cohesive team. The Defense, Offense and Coaching just don't seem to be on the same page at the same time. |
N.F.L Pointspread
*~*~*~*~*~*~*~* Minnesota Vikings - Green Bay Packers(-4,5) I was hoping that the spread would be close enough so that I could take the Packers. 3 & 4 point differences are extremely common to be able to take a chance on GB. Avoid Kansas City Chiefs(-7,5) - Oakland Raiders Although the spread here is wrong, since the teams are pretty much of the same quality. Its not one that the Raides will care about, so stay away from it no matter how attractive it looks. Tennessee Titans Buffalo Bills(-4,5) I was almost sure they'd have this one wrong. I thought they'd overestimate the Titans. The Bills are a much better team, and at home, but you'd have to question their motive at this point in the season. New Orlean Saints - New York Gants(-3,0) Huge differences here on every level. The New york Giants will win this game really easy for they are by far the superior team! 3,0 points is not much Bet on the Giants! Carolina Panthers - Atlanta Falcons(6,5) Last years matchup made sense, but it dosen't seem like this one will. Carolina last week against weak Pitchberg looked like they didn't care. It seems like there are quite a few teams(Bad and great) that are lowering their effort. Let me put it this way...... if the Panthers return to playing with effort, they will not only beat the spread, but they will win this game! Othewise, well,the spread looks just about right. Washington Redskins -St.Louis Rams(-2,5) Another question of motives, otherwise Washington all the way. Avoid Indianapolis Colts(-9,5) - Houston Texans Very very close to recommending the Texans here as I am 99% sure that the Colts will not show up for this game. But, it simply seems crazy to put my money on such a bad team against one of the greatest. Do what you will, but reconsider if you are thinking about to wager on the colts. Baltimore Ravens - Pitchberg Steelers(-3,5) At this point in the season, almost every game lacks motive. This is anothe one of those games, as the Ravens can afford to lose it. My spread would read the Ravens favorite at -10,5 if the Ravens had to win Avoid Tamp Bay Bucs - Clevland Browns(-3,0) The Clevland Browns are a much better team than the Bucs. When knowledge sets in though, you follow! I know that the Browns want to lose, there is no question. The only way for the Browns not to get what they want, is if the Tampa bay Bucs want to lose more. Regardless, I'll take a chance on the Browns getting what they want the 3,0 points is a bonus in this case. Bet on the Bucs Chicago Bears(-6,5) - Detroit Lions The Superbowl Bears reduced their efforts these past couple weeks as expected. They should reduce it even more for this one, expect the lions to score. Although the spread looks kinda big for a team that will relax. I'll avoid betting against a superbowl team, as the Lions are really bad. New England Patriots - Jacksonville Jaguars(-2,5) The spread looks just about right, both teams are mediocre. Now I know that a lot of you view the Patriots as some great team, but you are mistaken. Arizona Cardinals - San Fransisco 49ers(-6,5) This is a miss-match! Arizona's super passing offence will have a field day against this high-school pass defence. I'm not so sure they'll win the game, but the will score a bundle. 6,5 points seem like a lot when the underdog Arizona Cardinals should be scoring on almost every drive. Bet on the Cardinals Cincinnatti Bengals - Denver Broncos(-3,0) Best bet of the week, without a doubt. C.Bailey takes away 1 WR, but the Cincinnatti Bengals have plenty. The Cincinnatti Bengals will win the game, the -3,0 points are simply a bonus Bet on the Bengals San Diego Chargers(-6,5) - Seattle Seahawks The Chargeres are so much better than the Seahawks. Normally these -6,5 points would look really small, but the Chargers can relax, therefore, avoid. Philadelphia Eagels - Dallas Cowboys(-7,0) WOW! I am so excited for my Eagels after beating the superior giants, they have gone far past my expectations. This game on paper is actually easier than the Giants matchup but I will avoid it. New York Jets - Miami Dolphins(-1,5) These football games are not just about who is the better team, its also about specific matchups. What kind of offence is facing what kind of defence. Reality check here, The Dolphins ofence is not up to par at all, and I don't just mean last week. The Dolphins defence is great no doubt, but is it structured to handle an amazing passing offence like the Jets have? Even if they win some battles here, the New York Jets WILL score, and based on Miami's below par offence, and the fact that the Jets defence has stepped up considerably this past month. Add to that, the Passion that New york will be bringing as they seem playoff prone. I say They'll win! No spread to cover either, so.... Bet on the Jets |
I know the Game is just an hour away, but I have to comment on it.
There is some serious media brainwashing going on here. Favre this and Favre that. Excellent conditions favoring Favre, the Green bay packers, his final game in Green bay....Favre favre favre favre Green bay Green Bay Green bay. Now, i've been watching the media for some time now, and whenever you see extreme brainwashing going on, ALWAYS BET AGAINST. So yeah, Green bay is 4,5 point favorites Bet on the Vikings!!! Lets say I'm wrong here, lets say i'm imagining things. Think about this game for a second. Minnesota Has an amazing defence against the run, Green who is semi-injured as well will not get more than 50 yards running. This will result in Favre having to throw the ball. If you've seen any Packers games this year, you'll know that Favre has had a terrible year except for the games where he had run support. He is too old to be playing and his decision making is terrible. This particular game will have him throwing the ball a lot. Although the Vikings are bringing a brand new QB in, against this Packers defence, he should look much better than he really is. So, even straight up, this game looks like its going to the Vikings. |
Latest Results......
Minnesota Vikings 7-9 Green Bay Packers(-4,5) ....WIN New Yourk Giants(-3,0) 7-30 New Orlean Saints ....Loss Tampa Bay Bucs 22-7 Clevland Browns(-3,0) ....WIN Arizona Cardinals 26-20 San Fransisco 49ers(-6,5) ....WIN Cincinnatti Bengals 23-24 Denver Broncos(-3,0) ....WIN .......Still to come New York Jets - Miami Dolphins(-1,5) |
I'm gonna go ahead and add the Eagels to my list of recommendations for this week. First of all because they've really been playing some elite football.
Defencivly they've been doing it all year, but what is a suprise is how well the offence is running without Donovan. Another factor in my picking the Eagels here are yesturday's results. All the competition lost. Lets not forget that there is a very big spread of -7,0 points Bet on the Eagels |
Good call muh man!! Whatta game!!! Merry Christmas in deed!!
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Latest Results......
Minnesota Vikings 7-9 Green Bay Packers(-4,5) ....WIN New Yourk Giants(-3,0) 7-30 New Orlean Saints ....Loss Tampa Bay Bucs 22-7 Clevland Browns(-3,0) ....WIN Arizona Cardinals 26-20 San Fransisco 49ers(-6,5) ....WIN Cincinnatti Bengals 23-24 Denver Broncos(-3,0) ....WIN Philadelphia Eagels 23-7 Dallas Cowboys(-7,0) ....WIN New York Jets 13-10 Miami Dolphins(-1,5) ....WIN Quote:
It just goes to show you how much of a superbowl team we actually were when the season started! Lets go Eagels!!!!!!! |
Who you callin' "we" (presumably), White Canadian Man?
Thank goodness. At least people will be happy at work tomorrow since That Stinkin' T.O. and Dallas got their asses handed to them. |
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N.F.L Pointspread
*~*~*~*~*~*~*~* Week 17 is the final week of the regular season. It's also the most difficult week of the whole Football year to predict games. A lot of people are gonna lose a lot of money. This because the masses will place their money on games where motive is involved....only problem is, they're not all gonna win! This because those teams that seem to need to win may have other plans and in fact have more of a reason to lose. I know this won't make sense to most, but it is the way most franchise's are run. Don't be looking at the head coach, these decisions are made by the ones over his head. Some of these spreads this week are absurd! I mean like totally wrong! New york Giants(-2,5) - Washington Redskins Both of these amazing teams are without their best player. The Giants desperatly need a good quarter back but they will probably not get one till this wannabe like his brother's contract is over. Portis will be back next year and the Redskins will be competing for first place. I kinda hope the Giants make the playoffs and prove how good they really are by upsetting a few teams. i know that if the end up playing the Saints for a place in the NFC final, that I will wager more than i should that the Giants will beat N.O. even without Strahan. Logically NY will win, but let the truth be told, the redskins are that good that they could cause the damage. I will watch this. Pitchberg Steelers - Cincinnatti bengals(-7,0) It dosen't get easier than this for the Bengals. No competition, my only fear is that the Bengals even with a win will probably not make the playoffs, otherwise they are more than capable of beating the best of them. Detroit Lions - Dallas Cowboys(-12,5) Easy win for Dallas. Detroit got a 3 touchdown gift from the sleeping bears last week. i doubt they'll manage to pass the goalline in this one. But still, I'm not gonna touch it despite the fact that the Cowboys will cover the spread, do so if you must, but I will not as the head coach is pretty wise when it comes to these things. Clevland Browns - Houston Oilers(-3,5) Have you ever seen a game where both teams desperatly want to lose? Tune in to this one if you haven't. Jacksonville Jaguars - Kansas City Chiefs(-2,5) The Jaguars are a much better team, with the Chiefs at home it kind of evens it out, it'll be close, but so is the spread, so avoid it. St.Louis rams(-3,0) - Minnesota Vikings I'm laughing at the mere possibility that the Rams have at week 17 to make the playoffs, they are really bad. I see this game as more likely to end up a win for the Vikings to simply please the home fans. Just leave it alone Carolina Panthers(-2,5) - New Orleans Saints If both teams had motives to win, i would say that the panthers would win this game straight up. Now that the Carolina Panthers are the only ones with a motive here, I strongly urge you to wager on them! this win will be in double digits therefore the 2,5 points will not be a factor. Bet on the Panthers!! Oakland Raiders - New York Jets(-12,5) The Jets with a win, make it to the playoffs where they may just face a Patriots team they can beat. Normally with this extremely huge spread I would recommend the Raiders, but i will not, as it seems just as easy to be covered. I strongly recommend to everyone who wagers on these games not to bet on this game. Seattle Seahawks - Tampa Bay Bucs(-3,5) So this very bad Seattle Seahawks team made the playoffs. Who wouldn't in this extremely weak division? On the other hand, i don't think the bucs could score a touchdown if they played in the rose bowl. 3,5 point favorites? lol Bet on the Seahawks New England Patriots - Tennessee Titans(-3,0) The Titans aren't all that good, despite their string of wins. V.Youngs future? just think of Vick, good, but not so bright. They base this spread on the Patriots not showing up, and they probably won't. Not that they'd have a field day if they did, for they're not that great either. Tennessee actually has a legitamate shot at a wild card spot. But thats about it. Be wise and avoid this one. Buffalo Bills - Baltimore Ravens(-9,5) Straight up? this would be a 50/50 match. Both teams are about level in quality all around regardless of their records. I'd recommend the Bills here if the Ravens coach was wise, but I'm not so sure he's all that smart and will probably send his men out for the kill. If he does, it'll cost him big time, especially if the Bills respond. ..and i don't mean that it'll cost him the game. Health is more important than the bye. Too many questions here Avoid Miami Dolphins - Indianapolis Colts(-8,5) The Colts have been in serious relax mode for quite a few weeks now. They're not gonna kill themselves here. These spreads are being made with the notion that some teams will put extreme effort in it as to accomplish positioning. Trust me here, teams like the Colts specifically, have other things on their mind. They may win it and beat the spread as the Dolphins most certainly would find much more benefit in a loss. I think I've been 100% correct on the Colts this year. Avoid Atlanta Falcons - Philadelphia Eagles(-7,5) A win is a win, and don't be expecting the same kind of passion from the Eagels that you saw last week. 7,5 points is a lot for the Eagels to cover here against a very unpredictable offence. Avoid this game. San Fransisco 49ers - Denver Broncos(-9,5) This would have to be the best bet of the week! A lot of people are gonna lose money on this game betting on the Broncos. I honestly believe that the San Fransisco 49ers can win this game. Gore's final game of the season will be a good one. 49ers have a terrible weakness, they're terrible against the pass. Passing the ball is not one of the Broncos qualities. Even if Denver manages to squeeze a win in here, it will very tough. 9,5 is huge in a game where the time will be constantly ticking. Bet on the 49ers!!! Arizona Cardinals - San Diego Chargers(-14,0) The Chargers defence will relax a bit in this one. LT should get some rest. To prevent injuries should be the foremost in the Chargers mind. Normaly this game would be a blow out as the Chargers are amazing pass rushers, but I'm certain they will not play with such passion. They'll be saving everything for the first game of theirs in the playoffs. Avoid Green Bay Packers - Chicago Bears(-2,5) WTF is this? They have this notion NOW that the Bears will relax? They've been cooling down for some time now. The Packers? Forget about it, not with old Favre in charge. Yeah yeah, so you think they have hope for the playoffs. ok, lol. Go ahead then, lose your money on the Packers. Effort or no effort the Chicago Bears are gonna win this. 2,5 points is nothing Bet on the Bears |
Buffalo Bills - Baltimore Ravens (-8,5)
The point drop on the spread is not the reason that I'm adding this game to my list of recommendations for this very tough weak. I have reason to believe that the Baltimore Ravens will win this game by a bundle and easily cover this 8,5 pointspread. This conclusion i've come to has nothing to do with the Ravens being a superior team, as i believe that they are equal strength as a whole with the Bills. It has nothing to do with the Bills not caring or the Ravens being desperate to win. What it has to do with is Impression. Specifically, the impression it will leave on people's minds in 2 weeks from now when the Ravens face the Colts for a spot in the AFC final! Bet on the Ravens |
College football
Chick-fil-A Bowl Georgia - Virginia Tech(-3,5) I'd like to think that Georgia can take this with their amazing defence. I'm certain they'll step it up for this one. 3,5 points is a security blanket here in what will be a low scoring game. Bet on Georgia Outback Bowl Tennessee(-4,5) - Penn State All year round Tennessee has played some pretty good football. Earlier in the season this would have looked like an easy win for the volunteers. Penn State has certainly improved as the year went on, and this 4,5 spread is wrong. I think the Penn State will play as Lionhearts and win this very cool matchup that I anticipate watching more than most of the others. Bet on Penn State! Rose Bowl USC - Michigan(-1,5) This will probably have higher ratings than the championship game. Everyone is talking about Michigan and I don't buy it. I've made some good money on both teams this year and I have watched them both closely. What i can't understand is the commentators who are refering to this Michigan offence like its ohio state. I respect their defence, but IMO, their offence is gonna have a hard time in this one and USC will get a very easy win. To actually see Michigan here as 1,5 point favorites is a very big suprise to me. Bet on USC! |
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Only the Steelers lost in this game. A couple slots down in the draft. |
.....Latest Results
Georgia 31-24 Virginia Tech(-3,5) ....................WIN Carolina Panthers(-2,5) 31-21 New Orlean Saints ..WIN Seattle Seahawks 23-7 Tampa Bay Bucs(-3,5) .......WIN Baltimore Ravens(-8.5) 19-7 Buffalo Bills ..................WIN San Fransisco 49ers 26-23 Denver Broncos(-9,5) ........WIN .....Still to come Chicago Bears(-2,5) - Green Bay Packers Penn State - Tennessee(-4,5) USC - Michigan(-1,5) |
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This is the point that you missed Griff:
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Ah, corruption. mmmmkay. How do the Broncs and Bungles win by losing that extra playoff revenue in a league that won't even drop a pointless preseason matchup? (I'm not baiting, I enjoy a good conspiracy theory.)
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More money is generated in the gambling of a few weeks than the salaries of all players and staff throughout a whole season.
There's no conspiracy, simply use common sense. Where the most money is laid, the money is taken away. This is one of the main factors to consider to succesfully gamble on the NFL. Why do you think I keep avoiding massivly wagered games. (Bengals) If I do decide to wager on them, its always on the bet where the house wins! (49ers) In the Ravens prediction, notice how I mention impression? Its based upon pre-arranged imagery for the Ravens game in 2 weeks from now which they will lose. Notice the brainwashing that is to come regarding Baltimore in order to help the masses wager on them. They will lose. As will the masses lose their money. |
How do they benefit you ask?
They get a piece of the pie. |
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