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-   -   Accomplishments of President Obama (http://cellar.org/showthread.php?t=21780)

Redux 01-19-2010 09:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheMercenary (Post 628301)
But yet the lobbyists are merely not registering and still doing the same thing without the constraints that Obama and his henchmen put on them. So what has changed?

So how does that make a difference when they merely deregister as a lobbyist?

Sure..they can de-register as a lobbyist..and give up their livelihood and income...for a non-paying position on an advisory committee.

This is a "good government" program by any measure.

Will it prevent influence peddling? Certainly not.

Does it provide more transparency and less influence peddling. Absolutely...by a wide margin over previous administrations, D or R.

TheMercenary 01-19-2010 10:11 PM

They have only given up their name and registration. Nothing else seems to have changed.

Quote:

more transparency
:lol2:

Clodfobble 01-20-2010 07:31 AM

Isn't that like saying all a doctor has to do to get around FDA regulations is give up his medical license, and then he can practice all he wants? If you give up your registration, you may not work as a lobbyist to begin with.

TheMercenary 01-20-2010 07:55 AM

It is done through other ways of contact.

http://www.nytimes.com/2010/01/18/us...s/18lobby.html

Redux 01-20-2010 07:59 AM

Or from my personal experience as a lobbyist at one time, maybe its one of the those programs that is not perfect, but good.
(remember Voltaire :))

But I suspect nothing will satisfy some.

TheMercenary 01-20-2010 08:02 AM

DeRegistered Lobbyists Start New Firm

Warning Redux! Partisan Source!

[quote]Citing what its founders call a "volatile climate for lobbyists," K Street Research opened shop today in hopes of helping clients with policy and research needs while lowering their lobbying disclosure numbers.

According Brien Bonneville,(pictured at right) the new firm's vice president, lobbying disclosure totals are often inflated because it's hard for lobbying firms to distinguish how much of their fees go to lobbying and how much go to other consulting services, such as policy advice and research. Bonneville and Larry Mitchell, (pictured below) the firm's president and chief operating officer, decided to depart their lobbying posts at KSCW to create a non-lobby shop just for those functions.

"We don't have to wear the 'Scarlet L' anymore," Bonneville said. "A number of corporations have needs outside of lobbying and we wanted to exploit that."

Bonneville said his main gripe with last year's new lobbying rules is that lobbyists cannot serve in the administration. After arriving in Washington two and a half years ago hoping to make a career out of lobbying, "now I can't say it's a career path I want to go down," he said. "It just sparked my mind into thinking of new avenues for my skill set and how to serve companies that don't want to be deemed evil."

continues:
http://undertheinfluence.nationaljou...ts-start-n.php

Redux 01-20-2010 08:08 AM

*shrug*

As I said, nothing will satisfy you.

Thats ok!

Have a great day. :)

TheMercenary 01-20-2010 08:08 AM

Obama lobbying rules having unintended effects

Quote:

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - President Barack Obama's new special interest rules are having unexpected consequences with some lobbyists giving up their formal registrations and finding other ways to influence policy as they try to maintain access to key agencies or hope for future government jobs.
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE58C1MK20090913

TheMercenary 01-20-2010 08:10 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Redux (Post 628445)
*shrug*

As I said, nothing will satisfy you.

Facts are facts, no matter how much you want to prevent the transparent observation of them.

I am actually quite satisfied that the Demoncrats no longer hold a majority in the Senate. I would have been more satisfied if the winner was an Independent or Libertarian and not a Republickin.

Shawnee123 01-20-2010 08:12 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Redux (Post 628441)
Or from my personal experience as a lobbyist at one time, maybe its one of the those programs that is not perfect, but good.
(remember Voltaire :))

But I suspect nothing will satisfy some.

:lol:

Might as well tell him to Remember the Alamo or Remember the Titans...dude doesn't listen anyway!

TheMercenary 01-20-2010 08:15 AM

Listen to Redux?!? :lol2:

I could just read the latest White House or Demoncratic talking points and get the same information. ;)

Shawnee123 01-20-2010 08:20 AM

1 Attachment(s)
Damn GIF fail. Why is manage attachments converting it to jpg?

ok, fine...fucking HERE.

xoxoxoBruce 01-20-2010 10:59 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheMercenary (Post 628446)
Obama lobbying rules having unintended effects

People always have, and always will, try to influence policy and legislation. Sometimes because it's for what they believe is the better good, most often for their own (or clients) gain.

At least Obama is trying to do something about the most blatant of these scumbags. If he kills 90% of the rats, try to come up with something more constructive than carping about the 10% that got away.

TheMercenary 01-20-2010 03:02 PM

I could support killing off 100% of them.

classicman 01-20-2010 09:34 PM

The five decisions that defined President Obama’s first year
 
Quote:

5. The "Closing" of Gitmo - Throughout his campaign for office, Barack Obama vowed to close the American military prison camp at Guantanamo Bay, arguing that it harms America's reputation and violates our fundamental principles.

Upon taking office, he almost immediately signed an order to close the prison within one calendar year. Conservatives howled in protest and accused the new president of being "soft on terror." But the order was a central part of Obama's generally successful effort to rehabilitate America's global reputation after the unpopular Bush presidency.

With the deadline looming, however, the administration has conceded that, in the words of Defense Secretary Robert Gates, ''the logistics of it have proven more complicated than we anticipated.'' The Pentagon is reportedly ready to release at least 100 of the 200 total prisoners, but it has found few countries willing to take them. And with reports now connecting former Gitmo detainees with the Christmas Day "underwear bomber" and Al Qaeda in Yemen, the challenges are greater than ever.

This decision embodied what happens when Barack Obama's high hopes meet the complicated, harsh realities of the so-called "War on Terror."

4. Supreme Court Justice Sonia Sotomayor - Some presidential historians would argue that a president's most significant lasting impact is made through their appointments to the Supreme Court. The sudden and surprising retirement of Justice David Souter offered Obama his first chance to make his mark on the land's highest court.

His choice of Sonia Sotomayor was simultaneously highly controversial and not. While Hispanic groups were thrilled at the prospect of having one of their own on the Supreme Court, conservative Republicans were outraged by the Bronx native's off-the-bench expressions of cultural pride. They railed against her infamous claim that a "wise Latina" would come to better legal decisions by virtue of her experience and argued that what Obama called her admirable "empathy" was truly a liberal double-standard.

But her relatively moderate judicial record and cool demeanor during the hearings allowed her to sail through confirmation. She was confirmed by the full Senate on August 6, 2009, by a vote of 68 to 31. In his brief remarks following her confirmation, President Obama hailed the moment for "breaking yet another barrier and moving us yet another step closer to a more perfect union."

3. Taking on health care reform - Although the outcome of the current effort to reform America's health care system is still unknown, Barack Obama has gotten closer to passing a final bill than any previous president.

President Obama's core decision in pursuing reform was to leave the drafting of the bill to leaders of Congress. Many attribute President Clinton's failure to succeed in 1993 to his administration's choice to lay out its own plan and demand that Congress pass it. The president's only specific requests were that costs be contained and that any bill provide quality, affordable health care for all Americans.

The road through Congress, though, has been bumpy. Throughout the summer and fall public battles were fought over the public option, abortion, "death panels," and total cost. With the exception of a major address in September, President Obama remained mostly behind the scenes, pushing House and Senate leaders to gather enough votes for passage. The House narrowly passed a bill on November 7, the Senate on Christmas Eve.

While the Democrats losing their 60th seat in the Senate will make it difficult, President Obama hopes to be able to sign a reconciled version of the two in the coming weeks.

2. Two surges in Afghanistan - When he moved into the White House, Barack Obama inherited something no other incoming president ever had: two major wars overseas. Throughout his presidential campaign, Obama stressed the importance of shifting the focus of America's military effort from the now-stabilizing Iraq to Afghanistan.

"If another attack on our homeland comes, it will likely come from the same region where 9/11 was planned," he said in a speech last summer. "And yet, today, we have five times more troops in Iraq than Afghanistan."

So, not surprisingly, within the first month of his presidency, Obama ordered the deployment of 17,000 troops to Afghanistan to support the 38,000 already there. That proved insufficient, however, and in August General Stanley McChrystal, the newly appointed U.S. commander in Afghanistan, made a rather startling announcement: The Taliban had gained the upper hand, and the eight-year war in the region was rapidly failing. To salvage the operation, McChrystal wanted at least 40,000 additional troops.

On December 1, 2009, President Obama, after a period of prolonged deliberation that led right-wing critics like former Vice President Dick Cheney to accuse him of "dithering," ordered an additional 30,000 troops to report to the region within six months. Their mission would be to counter the expansion of the Taliban and to help train the Afghan security forces to control the country on their own. The president hopes to begin removing U.S. troops from the region by the end of 2011, but no concrete timetable beyond that has been offered.

1. The economic stimulus package - Coming into office with the economy in the throes of recession, and many believe on the verge of a much deeper crisis, President Obama's first major initiative was to pass a massive economic stimulus package in the hopes of jolting the economy back into gear. The $800 billion American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 included federal tax cuts, an expansion of unemployment benefits, and money for state governments and public works projects focused on health care, energy, and education.

The bill was viewed by conventional wisdom-makers like the Washington Post's Dan Balz as a "bold" beginning to the Obama presidency. The administration wasn't afraid of its price tag or the fervency of those opposed to the idea of government spending in moments of economic crisis. The president's supporters, including some conservative economists, believe the bill prevented the recession from becoming worse.

But the bill's passage did not come without a price. No Republicans in the House, and only three in the Senate voted for its passage, and the fight led to an immediate erosion of whatever goodwill existed between the opposition party and the new president. Outside of Washington, the bill polarized Americans' opinions of the new president and helped give birth to what became the Tea Party movement.

In the months since the passage of the bill, the country remains in what many define as a recession. Many argue that the president must take up a second stimulus bill in the form of a "jobs bill" to fight continuing unemployment.
Link

sugarpop 01-22-2010 07:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Redux (Post 628293)
Re: Number 10:limits on lobbyist's access to the White House.

One of the most sweeping changes is not just limiting lobbyists' access to the White House...but limiting the influence of lobbyists throughout the Executive Branch by barring them from serving on advisory committees that provide guidance on drafting and/or reviewing regulations.

It received little notice at the time of its publication last summer, but K street has been in a frenzy in the last few months as it is put into place.



It is influencing regulations, as much as or more than influencing legislation, through which industry lobbyists can be most self-serving.

Well, lobbyists have been out full force since he was elected. They may not have a lot of acces to the WH, but they have major access to Congress, not to mention how much access Wall Street has to Geitner. Lobbyists pretty much WROTE the Senate health care 'reform' bill. And now, with the SC decision about corporations, we can expect things to get much, much worse. (because corporate America pretty much runs everything anyway)

sugarpop 01-22-2010 07:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheMercenary (Post 628447)
Facts are facts, no matter how much you want to prevent the transparent observation of them.

I am actually quite satisfied that the Demoncrats no longer hold a majority in the Senate. I would have been more satisfied if the winner was an Independent or Libertarian and not a Republickin.

What do you mean they no longer have a majority? They still have 59 or something.

My problem with dems is that they are so stupid they really messed up a good chance for major reform - of health care, of banking, of wall street... But noooo.

I hope like hell more independents and 3rd party candidates get elected. The time is ripe, and I am FED UP with republicans just saying NO to almost everything, and democrats caving in to corporate interests, especially in the Senate. I think almost ALL incumbets should be kicked to the curb.

tw 01-22-2010 07:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sugarpop (Post 629342)
(because corporate America pretty much runs everything anyway)

Only when we let them. Not all corporate America is a problem. That would be like saying "Japanese cars verses American cars". An argument that completely ignores the problem. A subjective summary that will only decieve.

Many parts of corporate America are operating in America's interest. Did you see the long list of American companies that resigned or openly subverted their support for the Chamber of Commerce when that organization sided with the corrupt rather than for the long term objectives of America? The list included Nike, Coke, some computer manufacturers, etc.

A biggest problem in America is companies who believe their purpose is profits. Same reasoning justifies the mafia. Therefore GM cars have been so anti-American for 25 years. AIG so perverted the American economy that we had no choice but to bail them out. Goldman Sachs pays so many bonuses to finance people that could easily buy three Eisenhower, Carl Vincent, et al sized aircraft carriers. But then Goldman Sachs is not about what made America great - its products and innovations.

Goldman Sachs, et al is about leeching blood from the American public because finance people are more important than those who made America great. And so, for the first time in almost 100 years, America has seen no growth in ten years. Only some parts (too many) of the American economy work to subvert America for their own benefit.

If those employees are so good, then why are they wasting time and money on Wall Street? Why are they not out doing things that make America great? They forget to mention that when they claim they deserve seven, eight, nine, and ten digit incomes. This problem is not from all of corporate America.

And yes, by protecting so many corrupt companies, some bought and paid for politicians even hope that Obama fails. They just stopped saying it publically.

Madman 01-25-2010 11:52 AM

This health care dilemma has become a big nothing more than a big fiasco. Face the facts... no matter what happens - no one is going to be a winner no matter what happens.

I lost faith when the Democrats decided to cut a break for unions. Why? Because, historically, unions have always supported the Democrats (and I'm union). However, I cannot be bribed.

There should be Healthcare for everyone. How can we do this without affecting profit or high salaries (which is what it all really boils down to)? We can't. It's impossible. Someone or some group is going to be affected.

I'm glad they tried though.

classicman 01-25-2010 12:23 PM

What if only the Uber-rich have to pay, madman? Wasn't that where this whole thing started?

Madman 01-26-2010 07:28 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by classicman (Post 629847)
What if only the Uber-rich have to pay, madman? Wasn't that where this whole thing started?

I remember hearing about that. Never considered my self a gullible person - especially with a background with the collection industry.

I'm not against Universal Health Care - I would love for every man, woman and child in this country to be covered by decent health care. I would also love it if our Democratic Leaders would be a little more open about what they are doing.

I lost a lot of faith in Obama when he address the nation a few months ago and he side-stepped his own transitional opening... In his speech he stated... "How are we going to pay for this?" Referring to the Health Care Plan. He never answered his own transition. I listened ever so intently for that answer. It was never answered.

The answer, of course, is obvious. Everyone is going to pay for it. What do the do in England? I believe everyone is taxed something like 12% of their income. Not sure about Canada (I should ask a couple of my relatives who live there).

Honestly, I'm so tired of the government fucking with our taxes - it just makes me sick anymore. I'm damn near ready to move to Mexico.

classicman 01-26-2010 10:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Madman (Post 629996)
Honestly, I'm so tired of the government fucking with our taxes - it just makes me sick anymore. I'm damn near ready to move to Mexico.

Just make sure you bring some guns with you if you go south :rolleyes:

TheMercenary 01-26-2010 09:48 PM

Look, the goddamm demoncrats have proven that they are not one bit different from the republickans. All this bullshit that Redux and his party line propagandists have been feeding you have come to a head. The Dems lost big in Mass and November will be the real watershed. People are tired of the lies and promises that the Dems have been selling as snake oil to the American public. There are no jobs and the promises made to make jobs is more of the lies sold to you as a "stimulus package' and "millions of shovel ready jobs". It was all a lie to pass pork barrel spending for special interests and payback to those whores who supported the spending. As I have stated repeatedly, they are all about spend, spend, spend, and the taxes are yet to come. Keep your eye on Nov. Redux and others have marginalized Tea Party members as a tiny minority of the electorate and they were fucked by that attitude in Mass and they will be double fucked in Nov 10.

IMHO this country will be inept until we have a viable third party and neither of them have a D or R in front of their name.

lookout123 01-26-2010 11:00 PM

That sounds good merc, but you've got one major flaw in your thinking. The letter in front of the name doesn't matter a damn bit so long as they are still career/professional politicians.

Redux 01-26-2010 11:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lookout123 (Post 630203)
That sounds good merc, but you've got one major flaw in your thinking.

Just one? :rolleyes:

Happy Monkey 02-17-2010 10:57 AM

The stimulus package worked. Be sure to check the multimedia link on the article.

Undertoad 02-17-2010 11:14 AM

Not so fast

Happy Monkey 02-17-2010 11:39 AM

Her point is that other things the government did helped, too? I don't see the "not so fast" connection.

Her main complaint seems to be that the "multiplier" for money spent compared to GDP growth is too high. But the NYT article brings up the factor of money promised. When the states anticipated getting stimulus money, they began spending their money again. As the stimulus money is still being allocated, that effect will continue. So the multiplier should take into account some portion of the amount allocated, not just the amount spent.

Also, yes, there were other economic efforts going on at the same time.

TheMercenary 02-17-2010 07:36 PM

And how many jobs have actually been created? This Congress is about to get a wake up call....

Happy Monkey 02-17-2010 07:46 PM

Quote:

They all estimate that the bill has added 1.6 million to 1.8 million jobs so far and that its ultimate impact will be roughly 2.5 million jobs.

TheMercenary 02-17-2010 07:50 PM

Great. Provide your reference. I would be glad to shoot holes in it for you.

Yznhymr 02-17-2010 10:51 PM

Great list Radar. Other than the 2fers already mentioned, let's not forget these awesome accomplishments left off of the list.

1. Offended the Queen of England. Offended the prime minister of the U.K..
2. Bowed to the King of Saudi Arabia .
3. Praised the Marxist Daniel Ortega.
4. Kissed Socialist Hugo Chavez on the cheek.
5. Endorsed the Socialist Evo Morales of Bolivia .
6. Sided with Hugo Chavez and Communist Fidel Castro against Honduras .
7. Announced we would meet with Iranians with no pre-conditions while they’re building their nuclear weapons.
8. Gave away billions to AIG also without pre-conditions.
9. Expanded the bailouts.
10. Insulted everyone who has ever loved a Special Olympian.
11. Doubled our national debt.
12. Announced the termination of our new missile defense system the day after North Korea launched an ICBM.
13. Released information on U.S. intelligence gathering despite urgings of his own CIA director and the prior four CIA directors.
14. Accepted without comment that five of his cabinet members cheated on their taxes and two other nominees withdrew after they
couldn’t take the heat.
15. Appointed a Homeland Security Chief who identified military veterans and abortion opponents as “dangers to the nation.”
16. Ordered that the word “terrorism” no longer be used and instead refers to such acts as “man made disasters.”
17. Circled the globe to publicly apologize for America ’s world leadership.
18. Told the Mexican president that the violence in their country was because of us.
19. Politicized the census by moving it into the White House from the Department of Commerce.
20. Appointed as Attorney General the man who orchestrated the forced removal and expulsion to Cuba of a 9-year-old whose mother died trying to bring him to freedom in the United States .
21. Salutes as heroes three Navy SEALS who took down three terrorists who threatened one American life and the next day announces members of the Bush administration may stand trial for “torturing” three 9/11 terrorists by pouring water up their noses.
22. Low altitude photo shoot of Air Force One over New York City that frightened thousands of New Yorkers.
23. Sent his National Defense Advisor to Europe to assure them that the US will no longer treat Israel in a special manner and they
might be on their own with the Muslims.
24. Praised Jimmy Carter’s trip to Gaza where he sided with terrorist Hamas against Israel .
25. Nationalized General Motors and Chrysler while turning shareholder control over to the unions and freezing out retired
investors who owned their bonds. Committed unlimited taxpayer billions in the process.
26. Passed a huge energy tax in the House that will make American industry even less competitive while costing homeowners
thousands per year.
27. Announced nationalized health care “reform” that will strip seniors of their Medicare, cut pay of physicians, increase taxes yet
another $1 trillion, and put everyone on rationed care with government bureaucrats deciding who gets care and who doesn’t.
28. First Non-US citizen elected as US President.

classicman 02-17-2010 11:08 PM

Oh no you din't!
:corn:

Happy Monkey 02-18-2010 06:30 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheMercenary (Post 635422)
Great. Provide your reference. I would be glad to shoot holes in it for you.

I did. It's from my link.

Spexxvet 02-18-2010 09:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheMercenary (Post 635422)
Great. Provide your reference. I would be glad to shoot holes in it for you.

Because that's all you do.

Happy Monkey 02-18-2010 09:34 AM

You're giving him too much credit. He doesn't even do that.

classicman 02-18-2010 10:01 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Happy Monkey (Post 635419)
They all estimate that the bill has added 1.6 million to 1.8 million jobs so far and that its ultimate impact will be roughly 2.5 million jobs.

Quote:

"So far, the Recovery Act is responsible for the jobs of about 2 million Americans who would otherwise be unemployed." — President Obama
* Context: Both government and private economists have made wide-ranging estimates for jobs created and saved by the stimulus. The non-partisan Congressional Budget Office (CBO), for example, has estimated that the stimulus was responsible for between 800,000 and 2.4 million jobs in 2009. The White House Council of Economic Advisers pegs the range at between 1.5 million and 2 million.

TheMercenary 02-18-2010 11:27 AM

No holes in that one. :D

Happy Monkey 02-18-2010 11:33 AM

Good. Because it supports the numbers I posted, which are right in the middle of the CBO estimate, and on the low side of the WHCEA, which itself is well within the CBO.

Or were you under the impression that classicman's post was a refutation of mine in some way?

TheMercenary 02-18-2010 11:35 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Happy Monkey (Post 635598)
Good. Because it supports the numbers I posted, which are right in the middle of the CBO estimate, and on the low side of the WHCEA, which itself is well within the CBO.

Or were you under the impression that classicman's post was a refutation of mine in some way?

Dude, you can't take a range like that and really place any sort of validity on it. None.

Happy Monkey 02-18-2010 11:48 AM

What is invalid about the range? It's not precise, but do you have anything (anything at all) that disputes its accuracy (the words have different meanings)?

The CBO is a good sanity check. Any numbers outside that range can be discounted, and numbers inside that range can be inspected.

TheMercenary 02-18-2010 12:05 PM

Keep in mind the CBO only deals with the numbers given to them. BS in BS out. They are certainly no crystal ball on what will really happen. The numbers have been invalidated by numerous organizations who are not associated with the government. Even if you took the low end of most estimates at 600k that is pissing in the wind compared to the number of jobs lost and the actual money expended and allocated per job created. Certainly you are not going to believe the numbers released by the White House.

Redux 02-18-2010 12:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheMercenary (Post 635619)
Keep in mind the CBO only deals with the numbers given to them. BS in BS out. They are certainly no crystal ball on what will really happen. The numbers have been invalidated by numerous organizations who are not associated with the government. Even if you took the low end of most estimates at 600k that is pissing in the wind compared to the number of jobs lost and the actual money expended and allocated per job created. Certainly you are not going to believe the numbers released by the White House.

You just simply cant accept any study that disputes your position....just admit it!

You are wrong about the recovery act not creating a significant number of jobs and stimuilating the economy and you are wrong about the recovery act being responsible for the growing budget deficit

TheMercenary 02-18-2010 12:10 PM

It is not that, but I understand how the CBO works and how much propaganda this Administration has put out to try to cook the numbers and validate the boonedoggle of false Stimulus package.

Redux 02-18-2010 12:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheMercenary (Post 635623)
It is not that, but I understand how the CBO works

You do? Is that from personal experience?

Like you understand how the federal budget works and what was included in the health reform legislation?

And yet you continue to misinform others, by wilfull choice or simple ignorance...and are completed blocked from any facts, opinions or findings that contradict your "understanding".

:lol2:

Happy Monkey 02-18-2010 12:19 PM

So that's a no then? You have nothing (nothing at all) to dispute their accuracy?

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheMercenary (Post 635619)
They are certainly no crystal ball on what will really happen.

Quote:

Originally Posted by classicman's post
The non-partisan Congressional Budget Office (CBO), for example, has estimated that the stimulus was responsible for between 800,000 and 2.4 million jobs in 2009.

It's an estimate of past perfomance, based on what did happen, not a prediction.
Quote:

The numbers have been invalidated by numerous organizations who are not associated with the government.
No they haven't (prove me wrong).
Quote:

Even if you took the low end of most estimates at 600k that is pissing in the wind ...
Don't you mean "especially if"? If you take the low end, of 800K, it looks worse than than if you take the middle or high end? Amazing how that works.

classicman 02-18-2010 12:53 PM

One thing that I found of note, was that this was sold on "jobs created" and then morphed in "jobs saved or created"
What is the difference between the two?
Does it matter?

How are they actually determining the number of jobs? That formula actually changed midstream as well. According to the way I read it. The calculation is based upon man hours. If that is the case, then 2 part timers working 20 hours a week is the same as one full time job at 40 hrs.
Again - does it matter? Whats the difference?

Happy Monkey 02-18-2010 01:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by classicman (Post 635660)
One thing that I found of note, was that this was sold on "jobs created" and then morphed in "jobs saved or created"
What is the difference between the two?
Does it matter?

You can probably save more jobs with the same money than you could create, given spinup and training costs. Otherwise, there's no important difference I can see.
Quote:

How are they actually determining the number of jobs? That formula actually changed midstream as well. According to the way I read it. The calculation is based upon man hours. If that is the case, then 2 part timers working 20 hours a week is the same as one full time job at 40 hrs.
Again - does it matter? Whats the difference?
Well, the reporting number ends up lower in that instance. They could claim that two people got jobs, but then be open to argument that they are part-time jobs. Reporting them as hours is probably more useful as a measurement of recovery.

TheMercenary 02-18-2010 01:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Happy Monkey (Post 635634)
No they haven't (prove me wrong).

Lets go back to Nov 09 and start here. From the NYT:

Reports Show Conflicting Number of Jobs Attributed to Stimulus Money

Quote:

Those two extremes illustrate the difficulties in trying to figure out just how many jobs can be attributed to the $787 billion stimulus program. Last week the Obama administration released reports from more than 130,000 recipients of stimulus money in which they claimed to have saved or created more than 640,000 jobs, but a review of those reports shows that some are simply wrong, while others contain apparently subjective estimates.
Quote:

computer analysis by The New York Times of government reports showed that at least 30,000 of the jobs were being claimed in highway, street and bridge construction, and at least 14,000 were with transit agencies. The analysis found that the $5 billion push to weatherize homes, which was delayed in many states because of uncertainty over how much money the workers should be paid, had yielded only a little over 5,000 jobs so far, nearly half of which were in Ohio.
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/11/05/us/05stimulus.html

Quote:

The Obama administration has claimed that stimulus money has created or saved over 1 million new jobs. But with a U.S. national unemployment rate of 10.2 percent, it seems as though some people just weren’t buying it.
In the ABC News report, reporter Johnathan Karl dug deep into the data available on recovery.gov and the results were surprising to say the least. Among the inconsistencies are the following:
• Reports of jobs created in non-existent districts from virtually every U.S. state.
• Agencies that simply used the stimulus money to provide raises for their employees and counting those as saved jobs.
• Stimulus money that was used by agencies however no jobs were created. This is the case in Statesboro, GA where a nursing home used $243,500 of stimulus money to renovate its facilities yet reported that no jobs were created.
• Erroneous reporting of new jobs by agencies that now admit the jobs that have not even begun yet.
http://www.digitaljournal.com/article/282301

Quote:

"In late October, the administration reported that the first recipients of stimulus grants, contracts or loans created or saved more than 640,000 jobs. Recipients of tax breaks and aid such as unemployment insurance are not required to report, so the job numbers cover only about $47 billion of the $173 billion spent by Sept. 30. USA TODAY was among those that found examples of errors in that data, such as a Texas housing authority mistakenly reporting 450 jobs created by a $26,000 roofing project that actually employed six people."

This isn't the first report we've seen like this. How many will it take before the administration acknowledges that the stimulus has been an abject failure? That wasn't a serious question. This administration will NEVER acknowledge that it just wasted nearly a trillion dollars of taxpayer money.

The story continues: "The acting head of the Government Accountability Office (GAO), Gene Dodaro, told the committee his investigators found 3,978 reports where recipients reported creating a total of 58,386 jobs without spending any money. Another 9,247 reports covering $965 million in spending listed no jobs created or saved, Dodaro said."
http://www.associatedcontent.com/art...obs.html?cat=9

Now fast forward to Feb 2010:

Quote:

The CNN Fact Check Desk found that:

– Last November, the Congressional Budget Office estimated that between 600,000 and 1.6 million jobs were created through the third quarter, but said "it is impossible to determine how many of the reported jobs would have existed in the absence of the stimulus package."
– Also in November, the Government Accountability Office found "significant reporting and quality issues that need to be addressed."
– Last December, The White House Office of Management and Budget changed its guidance for stimulus recipients. Instead of asking recipients to report the amount of jobs created or saved with stimulus money, the Office asked recipients to report the amount of jobs "funded" by stimulus money.


Bottom Line: The White House-reported figures on jobs that were created under the stimulus plan are not specific enough to be deemed reliable.
http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com...id=FVXnfhW30kg

classicman 02-18-2010 01:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Happy Monkey (Post 635670)
You can probably save more jobs with the same money than you could create, given spinup and training costs. Otherwise, there's no important difference I can see.

I agree completely. Thats the reason why I think the change took place from "created" to "saved or created" I'm not sure how to figure out what the real difference is between the two. It still seemed a little disingenuous to change it to include the saved jobs.
However, the optimist will say that the program was designed to do both ...
I think its REALLY difficult to put any accurate number on the saved part of the equation and gives the gov't a lot of wiggle room on their numbers. Perhaps they should report each of therm separately.

Quote:

Well, the reporting number ends up lower in that instance. They could claim that two people got jobs, but then be open to argument that they are part-time jobs. Reporting them as hours is probably more useful as a measurement of recovery.
I agree, but the public is probably not savvy enough to deal with hours vs jobs.

Redux 02-18-2010 03:14 PM

None of the jobs data is based on federal government figures...but figures provided by the grant recipients.

And what is still comical is that you guys will fight it and fight it and never admit even the possibility that the stimulus program has created (at least) hundreds of thousands of jobs to date and helped slow the recession.

Do you even sense how rigidly ideological that is? Not to mention intellectually dishonest. Like most of your arguments.

And lately, you're great at find amusing columns or vids for a distraction so you can continue to avoid the facts.

Happy Monkey 02-18-2010 03:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheMercenary (Post 635685)
Lets go back to Nov 09 and start here. From the NYT:

The only part of any of those articles that referred to the CBO's numbers was the CNN factcheck that explained why their range was so wide. The CNN factcheck was using the CBO numbers to do their factcheck.

TheMercenary 02-18-2010 07:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Redux (Post 635719)
None of the jobs data is based on federal government figures...but figures provided by the grant recipients.

Which the Government has hung it's hat on as being factual and to date many non-governmental groups have shown them to be false or misleading, including the GAO.

Quote:

And what is still comical is that you guys will fight it and fight it and never admit even the possibility that the stimulus program has created (at least) hundreds of thousands of jobs to date and helped slow the recession.
No, what is comical is that you modify your position after pages and pages of defending the lies and propaganda of this Administration and Demoncratically controlled Congress. So, now you go to "hundreds of thousands of jobs" when this country has lost millions. The numbers don't add up and your party is pissing in the wind.

Quote:

Do you even sense how rigidly ideological that is? Not to mention intellectually dishonest. Like most of your arguments.
You are intellectually dishonest defending this deficit and pork barrel spending while you bankrupt our grandchildrens future with no plan to pay it off.

Quote:

And lately, you're great at find amusing columns or vids for a distraction so you can continue to avoid the facts.
As you avoid the facts that counter your propaganda...

TheMercenary 02-18-2010 07:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Happy Monkey (Post 635724)
The CNN factcheck was using the CBO numbers to do their factcheck.

Yea, that is what the defenders of this administration is using as their range, including yourself. In fact the CBO numbers are even narrower and they have said it it basically bogus.

TheMercenary 02-18-2010 07:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Happy Monkey (Post 635634)
If you take the low end, of 800K, it looks worse than than if you take the middle or high end? Amazing how that works.

No, I said 600k. Re-read my post.

Redux 02-18-2010 07:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheMercenary (Post 635773)
Which the Government has hung it's hat on as being factual and to date many non-governmental groups have shown them to be false or misleading, including the GAO.

Please cite those many non-governmental groups.. GAO? Cite the section of the report, please.

I am aware of the groups that raised awareness and concern over the very small number of job reports in non-existing zip codes and attributed those clerical errors.

TheMercenary 02-18-2010 07:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Redux (Post 635779)
Please cite those many non-governmental groups.. GAO? Cite the section of the report, please.

I am aware of the groups that raised awareness and concern over the very small number of job reports in non-existing zip codes and attributed those clerical errors.

All links have been posted. Do your own homework mate.

Happy Monkey 02-18-2010 07:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheMercenary (Post 635777)
No, I said 600k. Re-read my post.

I was giving you the benefit of the doubt, for using the November numbers. That's why I highlighted the 8 in my correction.
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheMercenary (Post 635776)
In fact the CBO numbers are even narrower and they have said it it basically bogus.

What are you trying to say here? The CBO numbers are narrower than what, and what are the CBO numbers you're talking about? Who have said what are basically bogus?

Redux 02-18-2010 07:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheMercenary (Post 635786)
All links have been posted. Do your own homework mate.

I missed the links to the many non-governmental groups.

Just point me to the links.

TheMercenary 02-18-2010 07:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Redux (Post 635792)
I missed the links to the many non-governmental groups.

Just point me to the links.

Let Google be your friend. Of course you could just look at the posts above.


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