The Cellar - Betting tips

The Cellar (http://cellar.org/index.php)

- Sports (http://cellar.org/forumdisplay.php?f=24)

- - Betting tips (http://cellar.org/showthread.php?t=12069)

not bad.... if you managed to bet every day of the year over the past 3 years and you're only down 175 bucks....thats not bad at all.
i'm a tad better in here ....try 6 digit profit since this thread started

Quote:

Originally Posted by W.HI.P (Post 602810)

and yet the tip jar isn't full this month....

Let's see...October of 2006...three years. Yep, I've made a 6 digit profit since the beginning of this thread too, from my job and from not throwing money to the wind based on the whims of a prediction guy.

I'd say that's slightly better than my mythical $100.75 loss.

Quote:

Originally Posted by monster (Post 602812)

and yet the tip jar isn't full this month....

hey...i've made an effort.. i've made bets on here, where the loser pays the tip jar.
i've just never lost a bet on here yet.

Quote:

Originally Posted by W.HI.P (Post 602818)

hey...i've made an effort.. i've made bets on here, where the loser pays the tip jar.
i've just never lost a bet on here yet.

Bites tongue . . . moves along. Have a blessed Day :)

since this thread is about making profit, lets take a deeper look into it.

lets take 3 weeks in the nfl as an example.
lets say we bet a defencive system amongst 6 games for each of these 3 weeks, without a base.

thats 20 bets a week, times 3 weeks = 60 bets.
lets put 100 bucks on every bet, times 60 = 6.000 bucks.

week 1, we go 5/6.... thats 10 winning bets, at 700 a bet = 7.000 bucks
week 2 we go 0/6
week 3 we go 0/6

although we only got 5 right out of 18 games, we made a thousands dollar profit over the 3 weeks.
usually, all you really need is 1 good week, every 3-4 weeks to be ahead.
having a bad week is in the plan.

now lets say we make a long term bet on baseball, on who will win the american league east ....we take an outsider that pays 67/1.
we bet 200 bucks on it.
if it wins[see tampa bay rays in 2008], you make 13.400 dollars.
basically, you can bet 200 dollars on who will win the american league east for the next 66 years, lose every single bet over the 66 years, and still be in the profit zone.

this thread is about more than that.
this about teaching people how to bet, cause they really don't know.
over 90 percent of people bet in a way that they require 100 percent of their picks to go through to cash in.
this is just not gonna work in your favour, cause you're gonna lose.
my defencive system is so good, that even with a terrible week in the nfl pointspread, where you go 5/9, you don't lose a dime ....you get you money back with 5 right and 4 wrong.

the main focus of anyone wagering on profesional sports, should be long term bets.
it requires knowledge on sports, knowledge which i have, more on some sports than others.

Are you going for the most consecutive posts record? You have 4 to go. Bet you can't do it, and retain relevance. ;)

Quote:

Originally Posted by W.HI.P (Post 602680)

if the result of last week in people's perception is that the saints are gonna play the patriots in the superbowl, then we found greater success than the week before.

*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*

houston texans[-3.0] vs san fransisco 49ers

this is a good match-up.
the difference in this one i think, is the 49ers defence, which is, without doubt, much greater than that of the texans.

bet on the san fransisco 49ers

*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*

tampa bay bucs vs new england patriots[-14.5]

the patriots loss in the superbowl 2 years ago was the most highly wagered lop-sided bet ever made in any sport.
leading up to that superbowl, anyone who had wagered on the patriots in any of their last 11 games, lost their money.
it does not alter perception, and as long as the masses, wager together, they're gonna be losing their money.
you can use those little words like conspiracy and coicidence all you want, it won't change the fact that the masses will continue to lose their money... and i will be here to collect it.

bet on the tampa bay bucs

*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*

dallas cowboys[-3.5] vs atlanta falcons

the falcons have a better attack than the cowboys, there is no doubt about that.
no teams defence is as bad as the cowboys, so the falcons have the upper hand there as well.
the only thing the cowboys really have in their favour in this game is their stadium.
this is lop-sided, and we get 3.5 points.

bet on the atlanta facons

*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*
miami dolphins vs new orlean saints[-7.0]

yes, the saints attack is elite, its been that way for some time, no suprises.
if you've been watching, the dolphins attack has yet to be stopped.
there getting 5-6 yeards on average with that wild cat formation.
i doubt the saints defence is gonna be the first to stop them.
and if they can't, then drew won't be on the field that much now will he.
the dolphins can win this game, 7 points is huge.

bet on the miami dolphins

*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*

one more addition for this week

*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*

san diego chargers[-6.5] vs kansas city chiefs

i'm not really grasping how this chargers team is underachieving.
jammer and cromartie are amazing cornerbacks.
merriman is one of the absolute elite defencmen in the nfl.
gates is the tiger woods of tight ends.
rivers is without doubt one of the 5 greater qb's in the game.
the running game, although not as amazing as past years, is still stellar.
the chargers aren't quite as rich as some other teams in the wr department, but they're at least par.
so why tf is this team not dominating
i can't figure it out.
to compare this team to the chiefs is really silly.
kc gives[at the time] a record breaking contract to an under par rb.
they top that this season, by giving a high paying multi year contract to a qb that has no buisness playing even as a 3rd string qb in the nfl.

bet on the san diego chargers

*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*

i'll take the initiative in surfacing ut's picks in this post.
good luck man.

Indianapolis -14 @ St. Louis
New England -15.5 @ Tampa Bay
San Diego -5 @ Kansas City
New Orleans -7 @ Miami

if you don't mind me asking, where did you find the chargers at -5

bodog.com. They are now at -6 there

Chargers rank #31 in running yards, averaging 58 yards/game. Offensive line problems?

Quote:

good luck man.

Thank you sir.

Indianapolis -14 @ St. Louis ~~win
New England -15.5 @ Tampa Bay ~~win
San Diego -5 @ Kansas City ~~win
New Orleans -7 @ Miami ~~win

go tony....you are my new guru

whip.....dallas won...nya nya.

yw ut...nobody but you can say that they're 100 percent in picks this season..... anticipating your picks for next week.
no doubt i'll be riding on the falcons over the saints on the monday nighter.