It is nice that they are estimating 81,000 now, because
I initially set our over-under at 80,000 
and I am now pretending I was very very smart at doing this when I set it

, ...it was just a wild-ass guess based on the flu numbers.
In truth, early inches make it go up or down by powers of ten. A butterfly sneezes...! Nobody's early guess could have been very good. It was and is a dice roll.