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All theories face the same level of harsh judgement. If there isn't enough information given to prove one way, there isn't enough to prove the other way either.
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There are, however, methods of evaluating which theories are more likely to be correct, such as Occam's Razor, checking for internal consistency, review by third parties (harsh judgement), and logic.
I'm not sure whether Onyx accepts building evidence out of pre-existing evidence by 'doing the math'.