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Conditions necessary for hurricanes are slowly appearing. Currently, warm water has formed south of Cuba where a tropical depression now called Alberto formed. First picture from US Navy sea temperature maps shows a warm water channel that carried this storm from Africa. The storm would have passed over northern S America, then intensified in the Caribbean south of Cuba. Second picture shows where that storm would have been seven days earlier. As that warm Atlantic channel moves north, those storms will stay over oceans into the Caribbean.
As Alberto approaches FL, warm water does not yet exist to intensify that storm. But as a rain storm, FL could use that rain for east coast grassland fires. Again, the first picture. Once in the Atlantic, water is not yet warm enough to create an east coast threat.
But let's not forget, last year's first named storm was this same week.
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