Thread: Betting tips
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Old 12-06-2006, 12:52 AM   #77
W.HI.P
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Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Canada
Posts: 1,513
N.F.L Pointsreads
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Clevland Browns- Pitchberg Steelers (-7.5)

This is really against basic logic to recomend a team that may be concentrating mostly on the upcoming draft.
Despite my better judgment, since its the only Thursday game, I will go out on a limb and say that should both teams play with equal effort it will be a field goal game, therefore a Clevland Browns win on this massive 7,5 spread.

Bet on the Browns

Baltimore Ravens - Kansas City Chiefs (-2.5)

This is such a big mistake, its not funny!
If I was fixing this spread,
I would make the Baltimore Ravens favorite at 6,5 or 7,5 points!
With the Chiefs here favorite at -2,5 points, it is one of the best bets of the week!

Bet on the Ravens!!!

Atlanta Falcons (-3.5 ) - Tampa Bay Bucs

Tricky 3,5 points here, as a 3 point win will be as good as any other for the Atlanta Falcons.
But the fact is, that the Bucs cannot score, and the passion alone that the Falcons will have in this match-up should be enough to secure a touchdown lead and one way or another, and keep it.

Bet on the Falcons

Minnesota Vikings - Detroit Lions (-2.5)

Sure this is lopsided, as the Vikings should be 2,5 point favorites, but when the Vikings are bad, they're really bad, so avoid this one.

Tennessee Titans (-2,5) Houston Texans

Vince is gonna be highlighted for this game, it is one for him to shine in.
The Tennessee Titans will easily cover this 2,5 pointspread.

Bet on the Titans

New York Giants - Carolina Panthers (-3.0)

There's a huge difference betweeen these two teams.
The New York Giants are by far a better team on every level.
Replace young Manning with any of 7 quarterbacks I can think of, and they are in NFC final for sure!
there's also a security blanket of -3,0 points.
I suggest you take it.

Bet on the Giants!

Indianapolis Colts ( -2.5) - Jacksonville Jaguars

This may just be the final game of the regular season that the Indianapolis Colts play with effort.
The effort will come in this one, because it seals it.
The Jaguars will not be a factor this year, despite some people's earlier predictions.
The 2,5 points will be very easy to cover for super Manning!

Bet on the Colts!

Philadelphia Eagels (-2.5) - Washington Redskins

I'm an Eagels fan, but I'm realistic.
The Eagels have a slim chance of making the playoffs, despite how possible it actually looks at the moment, and even more so, if the pull off a win this week, and even if the Eagels make the playoffs, they have no chance of getting to their goal, which is no other than the superbowl, not without Mcnabb. Best thing for the Franchise in my eyes, is a defeat this week, and next week, despite the economical consequence.
Its time to assure #1 candidacy for the superbowl next year for the Eagels.
And they will be should mcnabb finally last a whole year.
Those who saw him this year, KNOW!

Oakland Raiders - Cincinnati Bengals (-12.5)

There is no suprise here, no matter how good the Raiders defence is, and no matter how they'll try to stop this Bengals offence, it will not be enough.
The only weakness the Bengals have is that they can't stop the run.
No matter how good of a running week the Raiders have, it will not be enough.
This has Bengals written all over it,
but the spread is a little big for my tastes at this time of the year.

New England Patriots (-3.5) - Miami Dolphins

Respect to the guys who formed this spread.
Although they know Brown is out,
they do not overestimate the Patriots as I would expect them to.
Without Brown, the Dolphins hopes of a playoff birth have reached nil.
Its time to look towards next year guys, nice try though!
Avoid

Green Bay Packers - San Fransisco 49ers (-6.5)

Favre is really disapointing, I mean, it's really bad to see him making these decisions. BUT!!! He does have a chance to redeem himself this week against this High school pass defence! Green is a weapon most QB's envy of Favre, and will have another amazing week!
Sure SF will score, but they won't win the game, not this week!
Green Bay Packers all the way!
The 6,5 spread is simply a bonus.

Bet on the Packers!!!

Seattle Seahawks (-3.5) - Arizona Cardinals

If you actually wager on the Seahawks here, you gotta be pretty scared of this Cardinals offencive capability.
The Seahawks defence is the reason that they are not a superbowl contender.
Arizona of course has an obvious interest in the draft.
therefore....Avoid!

Buffalo Bills - New York Jets (-4.5)

I really hope the Bills go to this game without motive, cause they really can hurt the Jets here.....for with a win, the Jets become odds on favorites to make it to the playoffs based on the schedule that remains for all the teams in the hunt. Fear here is, that the Bills are capable of doing the damage against the Jets should they try 100%.
Avoid

Denver Broncos - San Diego Chargers (-7.5)

This game will probably seal my long term bet that the Chargers will win this division....a bet that was priced at 1,90 when i recomended it a few weeks back.
The difference between the teams are huge, but I'm not sure if the Chargers passion will be present in this one.
Its a luxury to lead a division like the Chargers do, a luxury that can afford avoiding key injuries for the upcoming playoffs.
That IS what the Chragers are looking at right now.
Avoid

New Orlean Saints - Dallas Cowboys (-6.5)

I got so disapointed when I saw the 6,5 spread on this one.
I was hoping that they'd overestimate the Saint, so that I could take the Cowboys.
Of course the Cowboys will win this game.
But a win is a win, and with this spread, you gotta stay away.

Chicago Bears (-6.5) - St Louis Rams

If the Bears can avoid the Colts in the superbowl, they will easily be the favorite to win it.
If there's a team that can stop LT, its the Bears.
One of the luxuries the Bears do have though is balancing things out.
They can afford to avoid injuries without caring so much about the result of a particular football game.
So, until the playoffs...you must avoid any wager on them.
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