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Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Canada
Posts: 1,513
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N.F.L Pointspread
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Minnesota Vikings - Green Bay Packers(-4,5)
I was hoping that the spread would be close enough so that I could take the Packers.
3 & 4 point differences are extremely common to be able to take a chance on GB.
Avoid
Kansas City Chiefs(-7,5) - Oakland Raiders
Although the spread here is wrong, since the teams are pretty much of the same quality.
Its not one that the Raides will care about, so stay away from it no matter how attractive it looks.
Tennessee Titans Buffalo Bills(-4,5)
I was almost sure they'd have this one wrong.
I thought they'd overestimate the Titans.
The Bills are a much better team, and at home,
but you'd have to question their motive at this point in the season.
New Orlean Saints - New York Gants(-3,0)
Huge differences here on every level.
The New york Giants will win this game really easy for they are by far the superior team!
3,0 points is not much
Bet on the Giants!
Carolina Panthers - Atlanta Falcons(6,5)
Last years matchup made sense, but it dosen't seem like this one will.
Carolina last week against weak Pitchberg looked like they didn't care.
It seems like there are quite a few teams(Bad and great) that are lowering their effort.
Let me put it this way......
if the Panthers return to playing with effort,
they will not only beat the spread, but they will win this game!
Othewise, well,the spread looks just about right.
Washington Redskins -St.Louis Rams(-2,5)
Another question of motives, otherwise Washington all the way.
Avoid
Indianapolis Colts(-9,5) - Houston Texans
Very very close to recommending the Texans here
as I am 99% sure that the Colts will not show up for this game.
But, it simply seems crazy to put my money on such a bad team against one of the greatest.
Do what you will, but reconsider if you are thinking about to wager on the colts.
Baltimore Ravens - Pitchberg Steelers(-3,5)
At this point in the season, almost every game lacks motive.
This is anothe one of those games, as the Ravens can afford to lose it.
My spread would read the Ravens favorite at -10,5 if the Ravens had to win
Avoid
Tamp Bay Bucs - Clevland Browns(-3,0)
The Clevland Browns are a much better team than the Bucs.
When knowledge sets in though, you follow!
I know that the Browns want to lose, there is no question.
The only way for the Browns not to get what they want, is if the Tampa bay Bucs want to lose more.
Regardless, I'll take a chance on the Browns getting what they want
the 3,0 points is a bonus in this case.
Bet on the Bucs
Chicago Bears(-6,5) - Detroit Lions
The Superbowl Bears reduced their efforts these past couple weeks as expected.
They should reduce it even more for this one, expect the lions to score.
Although the spread looks kinda big for a team that will relax.
I'll avoid betting against a superbowl team, as the Lions are really bad.
New England Patriots - Jacksonville Jaguars(-2,5)
The spread looks just about right, both teams are mediocre.
Now I know that a lot of you view the Patriots as some great team, but you are mistaken.
Arizona Cardinals - San Fransisco 49ers(-6,5)
This is a miss-match!
Arizona's super passing offence will have a field day against this high-school pass defence.
I'm not so sure they'll win the game, but the will score a bundle.
6,5 points seem like a lot when the underdog Arizona Cardinals should be scoring on almost every drive.
Bet on the Cardinals
Cincinnatti Bengals - Denver Broncos(-3,0)
Best bet of the week, without a doubt.
C.Bailey takes away 1 WR, but the Cincinnatti Bengals have plenty.
The Cincinnatti Bengals will win the game, the -3,0 points are simply a bonus
Bet on the Bengals
San Diego Chargers(-6,5) - Seattle Seahawks
The Chargeres are so much better than the Seahawks.
Normally these -6,5 points would look really small, but the Chargers can relax, therefore, avoid.
Philadelphia Eagels - Dallas Cowboys(-7,0)
WOW! I am so excited for my Eagels after beating the superior giants, they have gone far past my expectations. This game on paper is actually easier than the Giants matchup but I will avoid it.
New York Jets - Miami Dolphins(-1,5)
These football games are not just about who is the better team, its also about specific matchups.
What kind of offence is facing what kind of defence.
Reality check here, The Dolphins ofence is not up to par at all, and I don't just mean last week.
The Dolphins defence is great no doubt, but is it structured to handle an amazing passing offence like the Jets have? Even if they win some battles here, the New York Jets WILL score, and based on Miami's below par offence, and the fact that the Jets defence has stepped up considerably this past month.
Add to that, the Passion that New york will be bringing as they seem playoff prone.
I say They'll win! No spread to cover either, so....
Bet on the Jets
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