Thread: Betting tips
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Old 12-14-2009, 05:51 PM   #1463
W.HI.P
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Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Canada
Posts: 1,513
just so people get the true idea of what this sytem is, i'll go into further detail.

most people, make one straight bet on 3-6 games.
this would require them to win 100 percent of their games to cash in.
if we look at our accomplishments over the past 3 years in this thread, we will see that the majority of time, while picking 5 games, we get [3 out of 5] or [4 out of 5] correct.
if we were to have wagered these weeks the way the majority of people gamble, we would have zero returns on these weeks.

what this system provides is, instead of winning nothing on weeks where you go [3 out of 5] or [4 out of 5], you collect almost all of your money back while going [3 out of 5], and almost tripling your money while going [4 out of 5].

in a 3 week span, if you can achieve [4 out of 5] in 1 of those weeks, you will be in a positive $ net.

the only negative aspect of this defencive system of wagering, is that should a week come around where you achieve [5 out of 5] your return is less than it would be than if you had bet the way most people bet.
lets use xxxshowxxx's week for example.
he's gone 4 out of 4 with 1 game left.

what position would you rather be in.
having wagered $3.000

would you rather have $8.400 already won and $21.000 sitting on arizona -3.5?

or would you chose to be in a position where you've won nothing, but
waiting on $60.000.

greed would have us going after the larger sum, but thats where they get us.

if you do the math, you'll see that [4 out of 5] comes a lot more often than [5 out of 5], and i'd like to cash in on that $8.400, so that its all good in the end no matter how that 5th game goes.

look at the net of the year rather than the particular week you're in.
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