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#481 |
UNDER CONDITIONAL MITIGATION
Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: Austin, TX
Posts: 20,012
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Yes. Same grade as Minifob, who knew him, though not well.
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#482 | |
™
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Arlington, VA
Posts: 27,717
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Quote:
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#483 |
I think this line's mostly filler.
Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: DC
Posts: 13,575
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The logarithmic graph actually minimizes the difference. At first glance, I thought the Cases/Day line wasn't as different in scale as I would have thought (though, of course, the direction change was the important thing).
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_________________ |...............| We live in the nick of times. | Len 17, Wid 3 | |_______________| [pics] |
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#484 |
Radical Centrist
Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: Cottage of Prussia
Posts: 31,423
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The graph came out of my firehose feeds out there... but the raw country-level stats are collected at Worldometers covid page.
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#485 | |
maskless: yesterday, today, tomorrow
Join Date: Jan 2009
Posts: 2,162
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Quote:
In an honest world: we'd see a whole whack of retractions, now and in the future, but it ain't so we won't.
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like the other guy sez: 'not really back, blah-blah-blah...' |
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#486 |
The future is unwritten
Join Date: Oct 2002
Posts: 71,105
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Why would we see "a whole whack of retractions", are you saying you don't believe the numbers?
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The descent of man ~ Nixon, Friedman, Reagan, Trump. |
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#487 | |
maskless: yesterday, today, tomorrow
Join Date: Jan 2009
Posts: 2,162
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Quote:
I can't prove it. Chalk it up to my mean-spirited, suspicious nature. But why would anyone inflate (infection, death) numbers, Henry? Money, it's a hit Don't give me that do goody good bullshit
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like the other guy sez: 'not really back, blah-blah-blah...' |
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#488 |
Snowflake
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: Dystopia
Posts: 13,136
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money how?
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****************** There's a level of facility that everyone needs to accomplish, and from there it's a matter of deciding for yourself how important ultra-facility is to your expression. ... I found, like Joseph Campbell said, if you just follow whatever gives you a little joy or excitement or awe, then you're on the right track. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Terry Bozzio |
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#489 |
Radical Centrist
Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: Cottage of Prussia
Posts: 31,423
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Most interesting to compare the current IHME models for...
Sweden - pop. ~10M, projected 13,259 deaths Denmark - pop. ~5.5M, projected 1,575 deaths Norway - pop. ~5.5M, projected 925 deaths Finland - pop. ~5.5M, projected 226 deaths Sweden has 79 ICU beds available and the model says they will need about 3400. ![]() These are just models, and we can't predict the future accurately, and we don't know what the situation will be long run... still,... |
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#490 |
The future is unwritten
Join Date: Oct 2002
Posts: 71,105
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How does that work in India...
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The descent of man ~ Nixon, Friedman, Reagan, Trump. |
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#491 |
I think this line's mostly filler.
Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: DC
Posts: 13,575
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Any list of actual deaths will be an undercount, due to the lack of testing. Puerto Rico is an undercount, as there are certainly more than one person who died of it that wasn't tested for it.
Estimates may be over or under, depending on the model, but tallies will be under.
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_________________ |...............| We live in the nick of times. | Len 17, Wid 3 | |_______________| [pics] |
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#492 | |
maskless: yesterday, today, tomorrow
Join Date: Jan 2009
Posts: 2,162
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Quote:
Global death numbers could be low cuz, for example, China is a lyin' sack commie fest who lie just about everything... ...or... ...global death numbers could be high cuz some of those deaths had nuthin' to do with wu flu complications. Global recovery numbers are low cuz, again, I'm bettin' way more folks were infected and were asymptomatic. Locale numbers (infections & deaths) I'm bettin' are inflated, by a little or by a lot, I can't say. ----- money how? How is political process. Why is greasin' the squeaky wheel (or, if you prefer, ...to each according to [claimed] need).
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like the other guy sez: 'not really back, blah-blah-blah...' |
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#493 |
I think this line's mostly filler.
Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: DC
Posts: 13,575
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Lots of stuff in this podcast relevant to this thread and the COVID politics thread.
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_________________ |...............| We live in the nick of times. | Len 17, Wid 3 | |_______________| [pics] Last edited by Happy Monkey; 04-10-2020 at 03:52 PM. |
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#494 | |
We have to go back, Kate!
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: Yorkshire
Posts: 25,964
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So, do you really think this is overblown and not much more serious than seasonal flu?
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#495 | |
I love it when a plan comes together.
Join Date: Oct 2009
Posts: 9,793
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Weeding out complications...
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