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Politics Where we learn not to think less of others who don't share our views |
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#1 |
Radical Centrist
Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: Cottage of Prussia
Posts: 31,423
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I think a lot of it is considered to be name recognition.
The name that got elected, people have heard of that name; but the challenger, not so much. |
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#2 |
Radical Centrist
Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: Cottage of Prussia
Posts: 31,423
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Despite almost always winning their elections, incumbents by and far raise more money than challengers. Incumbents raise more than candidates for open seats.
https://www.opensecrets.org/overview/incumbs.php |
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#3 |
The future is unwritten
Join Date: Oct 2002
Posts: 71,105
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Granted, but except the few who are indicted for misappropriation, don't they use these war chests to get reelected? Money = votes.
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The descent of man ~ Nixon, Friedman, Reagan, Trump. |
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#4 |
Radical Centrist
Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: Cottage of Prussia
Posts: 31,423
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And if you click on "breakdown by party" you see that Democrats raised over twice as much money per candidate for their Challenger and Open Seat opponents.
It didn't work; question remains; is money effective in getting votes? |
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#5 |
Read? I only know how to write.
Join Date: Jan 2001
Posts: 11,933
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#6 |
Goon Squad Leader
Join Date: Nov 2004
Location: Seattle
Posts: 27,063
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Money is effective. Gerrymandering is more effective.
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Be Just and Fear Not. |
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#7 |
Radical Centrist
Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: Cottage of Prussia
Posts: 31,423
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If anyone thinks that money is effective at getting more votes please post evidence, and not just guesses or suspicions.
I've posted my evidence that it doesn't. Over time we can figure this out. |
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#8 |
Read? I only know how to write.
Join Date: Jan 2001
Posts: 11,933
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#9 | |
I hear them call the tide
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: Perpetual Chaos
Posts: 30,852
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Quote:
this.
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The most difficult thing is the decision to act, the rest is merely tenacity Amelia Earhart |
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#10 | |
The future is unwritten
Join Date: Oct 2002
Posts: 71,105
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Quote:
![]() It doesn't solve the puzzle of money and this election, but it's certainly a powerful metaphor.
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The descent of man ~ Nixon, Friedman, Reagan, Trump. |
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#11 |
Read? I only know how to write.
Join Date: Jan 2001
Posts: 11,933
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Beat wood is a metaphor for what?
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#12 |
Radical Centrist
Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: Cottage of Prussia
Posts: 31,423
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My evidence is that Hillary outspent Trump 2 to 1 with no measurable effect on the outcome, and Democratic challengers and open seat candidates outspent Republicans by more than 2 to 1 with no measurable effect on the outcome.
Could just be a 2016 thing, I welcome more evidence. |
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#13 |
The future is unwritten
Join Date: Oct 2002
Posts: 71,105
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Oops, my bad. Sorry.
Yes, 2016 had a lot of things going on we didn't, or at least hadn't noticed, before. One was the intense social media and email campaigns against Obama and anyone connected to him, more than just usual damning the Democrats in general. Another thing I noticed was the push by the Koch & company at governorships and state legislatures. It could be that I'm just more informed than in the past. ![]()
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The descent of man ~ Nixon, Friedman, Reagan, Trump. |
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#14 | ||
We have to go back, Kate!
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: Yorkshire
Posts: 25,964
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Quote:
All we have are statistical curves and election on election polling and voting data and if there's anything we all should have learned by now it's that polling and voting patterns are not nearly good enough predictors of major political shifts. It wasn't as if Trump won by a landslide, sweeping up both the electoral college vote and the popular vote. Maybe the Democrats should take from this that they could have spent that bit more and maybe tipped the election in their favour. Maybe the Republicans can consider what a close shave they had by not spending as much. I don't think that's the message they should take but it's as rationale as next message.
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#15 |
I love it when a plan comes together.
Join Date: Oct 2009
Posts: 9,793
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That was a gross oversimplification. Apparently you just didn't think it was worth your time to elaborate. You shortchanged us.
Money is a medium of exchange. |
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