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#1336 | |
I can hear my ears
Join Date: Oct 2003
Posts: 25,571
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Quote:
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This body holding me reminds me of my own mortality Embrace this moment, remember We are eternal, all this pain is an illusion ~MJKeenan |
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#1337 |
Free
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Canada
Posts: 1,513
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reminds me of two seasons ago around this time where the patriots won by 50 something points...of course they went on for the rest of the season losing 11 games in a row against the spread ending in that loss against the new york giants.
its all about perception lj, but don't get the wrong idea about your cowboys... people's perception is that the cowboys suck...in this particular case, the cowboys actually do suck...but you always have the option of changing teams.
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#1338 |
Free
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Canada
Posts: 1,513
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if the result of last week in people's perception is that the saints are gonna play the patriots in the superbowl, then we found greater success than the week before.
*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~* houston texans[-3.0] vs san fransisco 49ers this is a good match-up. the difference in this one i think, is the 49ers defence, which is, without doubt, much greater than that of the texans. bet on the san fransisco 49ers *~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~* tampa bay bucs vs new england patriots[-14.5] the patriots loss in the superbowl 2 years ago was the most highly wagered lop-sided bet ever made in any sport. leading up to that superbowl, anyone who had wagered on the patriots in any of their last 11 games, lost their money. it does not alter perception, and as long as the masses, wager together, they're gonna be losing their money. you can use those little words like conspiracy and coicidence all you want, it won't change the fact that the masses will continue to lose their money... and i will be here to collect it. bet on the tampa bay bucs *~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~* dallas cowboys[-3.5] vs atlanta falcons the falcons have a better attack than the cowboys, there is no doubt about that. no teams defence is as bad as the cowboys, so the falcons have the upper hand there as well. the only thing the cowboys really have in their favour in this game is their stadium. this is lop-sided, and we get 3.5 points. bet on the atlanta facons *~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~* miami dolphins vs new orlean saints[-7.0] yes, the saints attack is elite, its been that way for some time, no suprises. if you've been watching, the dolphins attack has yet to be stopped. there getting 5-6 yeards on average with that wild cat formation. i doubt the saints defence is gonna be the first to stop them. and if they can't, then drew won't be on the field that much now will he. the dolphins can win this game, 7 points is huge. bet on the miami dolphins *~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*
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#1339 | |
I can hear my ears
Join Date: Oct 2003
Posts: 25,571
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Quote:
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This body holding me reminds me of my own mortality Embrace this moment, remember We are eternal, all this pain is an illusion ~MJKeenan |
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#1340 |
Free
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Canada
Posts: 1,513
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i can see why you'd be upset for having such a shitty team lj, but don't take it out on me.... its not my fault that your defence sucks.
i'm just the messenger.....i'm the guy that informs you what shape your team is in..... if you had listened to me, instead of getting all upset about it, you'd have changed teams a long time ago. your acting as if i play some kind of part in how shitty your team preforms..... take a reality check there lj mmkay
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#1341 |
I can hear my ears
Join Date: Oct 2003
Posts: 25,571
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WHERE WAS THIS ACTING NOW?
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This body holding me reminds me of my own mortality Embrace this moment, remember We are eternal, all this pain is an illusion ~MJKeenan |
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#1342 |
Free
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Canada
Posts: 1,513
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in this thread here.
my record on calling cowboys games is actually pretty good. 2 years ago when they had a good team, i'd call more wins than losses for them and they'd get them....last year when they started to suck i started calling it against them and you started getting all pissed off, accusing me of calling games against your shitty team. this season, your team is about as weak as its ever been, so yeah, if you really really want me to just avoid giving your teams losses than just say so, but don't start blaming me for your teams weakness.
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#1343 |
I can hear my ears
Join Date: Oct 2003
Posts: 25,571
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Jimmy,
with all sincerity..... my whole point in heckling you in this thread is that you have no clue about picking games. The entire concept that ANYONE has a clue is a big joke. The idea that you thinking that you're better at picking games than me or tony or anyone else is a big joke, and we are all laughing at you. that's why people enjoy seeing you fail. because you put up this front like you have a clue....and crow like a motherfucker when you actually get one right...but NEVER cop to it when you blow it like you did last week. you're a tool.....but your our tool...so keep it up!
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This body holding me reminds me of my own mortality Embrace this moment, remember We are eternal, all this pain is an illusion ~MJKeenan |
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#1344 |
Free
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Canada
Posts: 1,513
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lj, this thread is about making money.
its a about making profit through betting. this thread has made profit for those who have used it for its purpose. you obviously haven't read it since you didn't even know i wa an eagle fan. as far as tools are concerned, the cellar would be considered my tool, not vice-versa
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#1345 |
Radical Centrist
Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: Cottage of Prussia
Posts: 31,423
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My pet theory is that the oddsmakers are taking your pet theory into account now.
I just looked at last year's standings against the spread. Teams with poor records do poorly against the spread and teams with good records do well against the spread. Eight teams had 5 wins or fewer, and none of them had a winning record against the spread. Eleven teams had 11 wins or more (including playoffs) and only 2 of them had losing records against the spread. This seems to be counter-intuitive as under the W.HI.P theory, people should be betting with winning teams and betting against losing teams. |
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#1346 |
Radical Centrist
Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: Cottage of Prussia
Posts: 31,423
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I looked at the year before and the same principle applied then too. I'm not sure why, but I am now issuing
BETTING TIPS Indianapolis -14 @ St. Louis New England -15.5 @ Tampa Bay San Diego -5 @ Kansas City New Orleans -7 @ Miami |
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#1347 | |
Why, you're a regular Alfred E Einstein, ain't ya?
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 21,206
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Quote:
![]() Certainly not for the person who places bets based on your predictions! ![]()
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A word to the wise ain't necessary - it's the stupid ones who need the advice. --Bill Cosby |
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#1348 |
Free
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Canada
Posts: 1,513
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you wanna try going back in this thread and see how much profit or loss you would have if you wagered on every recomendation in here.
if you're gonna make a statement like that, you'd best have your facts straight first.
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#1349 |
Why, you're a regular Alfred E Einstein, ain't ya?
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 21,206
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(insert 'oooooooooooooooooooooohhhh scawy' here)
Whuddever Whup. I don't care that much. How about your facts? Can you give me a figure? I could make something up and are you going to go back 90 pages and fact-check me? If you're gonna make a statement like that, you'd best have your facts straight before you challenge someone. OK, my answer is minus one hundred bucks and 75 cents. ![]()
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A word to the wise ain't necessary - it's the stupid ones who need the advice. --Bill Cosby |
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#1350 |
Free
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Canada
Posts: 1,513
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not bad.... if you managed to bet every day of the year over the past 3 years and you're only down 175 bucks....thats not bad at all.
i'm a tad better in here ....try 6 digit profit since this thread started
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