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Old 02-25-2019, 06:35 PM   #11
Undertoad
Radical Centrist
 
Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: Cottage of Prussia
Posts: 31,423
How would you arrive at that via Curry's page?

RCP 8.5 "assumes the fastest population growth (a doubling of Earth’s population to 12 billion), the lowest rate of technology development, slow GDP growth, a massive increase in world poverty, plus high energy use and emissions."

World poverty is decreasing rapidly... innovation in solar and storage and efficiency continue. Emissions in developed countries are kinda flat. The only way you could accomplish that fallback would be with widespread Communism and even that seems to have fallen out of favor in most of the developing world.
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