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Old 03-25-2020, 04:22 PM   #11
Undertoad
Radical Centrist
 
Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: Cottage of Prussia
Posts: 31,423
Quote:
Originally Posted by BigV View Post
Early in the curve you don't have as many people to actually test?

What does that mean? We have the same population "early" as we do "later".
It means, early in the curve, you don't have as many people who are symptomatic, so you don't test as many people. You only test people who are symptomatic.

Also the test at that time took 3 days to return, so we are looking at time of result, not date of test. First death was Feb 29, do you think we suddenly should have tested 100,000 random people the next day?

Quote:
The CRUCIAL piece of information you know is missing but haven't put your finger on is that the leadership informing the population about the situation and the importance of testing, "early in the curve", *that is* what was missing.
But the people don't need to know about testing. The doctors do. They don't take direction from the President.

Quote:
you know is missing but haven't put your finger on
Attack my argument, not me.
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