Betting tips

[W.HI.P]

Its been a while since I've given tips as my free time had become limited.

August 4th finds the overall standings as follows:

1) LA Angels .622
2)Tampa Bay Rays .600
3)Chicago Cubs .598

I'm very happy at this time as I've been an Angels fan since 1982.
Also, I've taken them to win the West, the AL, and the world series.
More impressivley, my 69/1 shot on TB winning the AL East!!!

The leading news of all this past week, was the fact that Chris Carpenter is back!
The Cardinals do become contenders with him.

Teixeira was a great pick up for the Angels.
...But Kotchman was a very high price to pay, as he truly is a great player

Originally Posted by classicman

Football!!!!!!!

I'm very excited, but I will avoid talking about this year until we do our fantasy football draft.
Talking NFL would give away all the hidden secrets about who is who.

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Texas Rangers vs NY Yankees
Padilla - Chamberlain

Fantasy does help you focus on reality.

This game would pose two questions in fantasy.
If I owned both Padilla and Chamberlain Would I .....
1) Start Padilla?
No, of course not... hello!!! ..He's up against the Yankees line-up!
2)Would I start Chamberlain?
Of course I would.... Chamberlain at this time, is the elite!

Bet on the NY Yankees

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Kansas City Royals vs Boston Red-Sox
Meche - Buchholz

Is anyone watching Butler (Royals 1st baseman) at the plate lately?
Watch watch watch!
Meche is a very good pitcher as well.
The Royals win pays too much money to not take it.

Bet on the Kansas City Royals

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LA Angels vs Baltimore Orioles
Saunders - Sarfate

Saunders would get his league leading 15th win!
I really don't care about the price... this should be in the books.

Bet on the LA Angels

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[classicman]

Originally Posted by W.HI.P

I'm very excited, but I will avoid talking about this year until we do our fantasy football draft.
Talking NFL would give away all the hidden secrets about who is who.

Are you serious? Thats what everyone is waiting for!

[W.HI.P]

Chamberlain hurt his shoulder mid-way through the game.
If this is serious, it would limit the Yankees chances of winning the AL East.
Saunders allowed 1 run, but the game is 5-5 in the 9th...so we'll see.
Meche recorded 9 strike-outs in 6 innings in the Royals 4-3 win over Boston.

Originally Posted by classicman

Are you serious? Thats what everyone is waiting for!

I'm well aware, but there are still some things to consider before wagering one's money.
There is the reality of football in which my knowldege is in the higher percentages on this planet.
There is also the reality of money and media, who's influence sheds very clear light on what won't happen!
So lets wait just a tad before directing people's fortune's.

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St.Louis Cardinals vs LA Dodgers
Chris Carpenter vs Billingsley

Chris, you've been missed.
I'm no Cardinals fan, but Carpenter has pitched some of the greatest starting preformances I've ever seen.
Put aside a few closers who clearly hold the greatest individual pitches in the game, Carpenter IMO, is the greatest active starter in the game.
This is his 2nd game back after what seemed to be a century.
He's got it, no doubt.... the only question is, how many innings will he pitch?
From what I see, 7 at least.
Yes yes yes, Billingsley has looked amazing out there.
So, to be wise........

Bet on the Under

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[classicman]

Originally Posted by W.HI.P

I'm well aware, but there are still some things to consider before wagering one's money.
There is the reality of football in which my knowledge is in the higher percentages on this planet.
There is also the reality of money and media, who's influence sheds very clear light on what won't happen!
So lets wait just a tad before directing people's fortune's.

I was talking about helping the cellarites make their determinations for the fantasy league - there isn't any money involved in that, is there?

[W.HI.P]

Ok classicman, I shed a little light on it in the fantasy football thread.

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LA Angels vs Baltimore Orioles
Santana - Olson

Are the Angels gonna lose any games or what?
Of course they're gonna lose.
in the next 10 days, Guerrero, Figgins, Hunter, will all get days off.
Saunders, Weaver and Lackey will at worst go 2-1.
Leaving Garland and Santana at 0-2? ... 1-1 at best.

This is about as high of a price one can find in a baseball game... take it!

Bet on the Baltimore Orioles

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Kansas City Royals vs Boston Red-Sox
Hochevar - Wakefield

If the Red Sox have a demon, its the Royals... who have owned them over the past few years.
You can expect this Royals dominance over the Red Sox to continue as Kansas City has now built a competitive team.

Wakefield can be frustrating, but is capable of have a bad inning or two.

Bet on the Kansas City Royals

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[classicman]

I tried to watch a baseball game last night - yawn - too slow.

[W.HI.P]

Originally Posted by W.HI.P

*~MLB~*
2008-2009

American League
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East

Its evident that both the Yankees and the Red Sox have weaker line-ups than last year.
However, both Bull-pens look very interesting and rich.
Boston's Outfielder Ellsbury will be very interesting to watch.
All eyes will be on Yankees RP Chamberlain!

Toronto is not looking like their improving... the only thing that brings them closer is the weakening of the two greater teams.
The one and only team in this division that will improve is the Tampa Bay Devil Rays .
Kazmir and Shields make up a great 1-2. and the bullpen is actually stronger:
T. Percival (Closer)
A. Reyes <<----This guy is an ace
G. Glover
D. Wheeler <<----this #4 shows how deep this bullpen is.
Upton, Pena and Crawford, make this team actually capable of competing for top spot in this division.... if not this year, then the next, and furthermore. How interesting it will look with Tampa Bay above Boston in this division.

Bet on Tampa Bay = 67.00 (67/1)

This is the big money maker for this season.
I know for a fact that quite a few people took this.
Most people want to make a lot of money, so this was attractive.

The last month of the season will determine wether or not the Rays can hold on as they play 19 road games.
Tampa Bay is ranked #2 in baseball, and hold a 4.5 game lead in the AL East!

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Central

Miguel Cabrera was a huge addition to Detroit, and yes,
Verlander is a year older. Zumaya holds up the bullpen.
A lot of people see this team as the best team in baseball, i do not.
This division still holds the Clevland Indians who are as strong as they were last year. The White Sox made some key improvments, that will put some serious runs up on the scoreboard. The Bullpen however does not look as promising.
Things are very exciting in Minnesota as well, despite loosing Johan.
That bullpen is cetainly one to envy.
Last but not least, the Kansas City Royals. Improved, no doubt, but their gonna need to improve a lot more in the years to come if they wanna compete with the teams in their division.

Detroit : 1.72
Clevland : 2.62
Chicago : 10.00
Minnesota : 13.00
Kansa City : 51.00

Bet what you will, I will avoid this division at this time.

This one is still very open... looking back now, maybe the sox and twins prices could have been wagered on as they were high.

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West

Felix Hernandez, Bedard and Putz are 3 of the absolute elite pitchers in the game, the only reason Seattle can't win this division is its lack of depth, both in the field, and in its pitching staff.
The Angels are too rich in players.
Escobar, Lackey, Jered Weaver, Saunders, Garland and Santana are their Starters ....they will also hold a luxury of trading one of them for a bat when the time comes if needed.... the certainly won't need an Outfielder though. Vladimir Guerrero, Torri Hunter, Gary Mathews Jr., Garret Andersons(DH), Reggie Willits and Rivera make up the richest outfield in baseball.
Lets not forget the fastest throwing closer in the game, RP Fransisco Rodriguez.
Mr.Shields will be setting him up, and Spier for the 7th.
The team is elite and World series prone.
Are the summer time blues innevitable for the Texas Rangers?
Maybe they should move the franchise.
At the pit of this division and baseball, we find the Oakland A's.

Bet on the LA Angels = 1.40

What can you say about the Angels?
Texeira will be a clutch addition on their way to the world series

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East

The New York Mets are the best team in baseball IMO.
They would be listed by me, as the favorites even if they hadn't picked up Johan Santana.
I've consistently made money of Johan's losses these past 2 years, but with the Mets, and in the National league, things look quite different.


Bet on the Mets = 1.47

They can still pull it off... I fear the Cubs for the national league more than the Phillies for the division.

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I'm not even gonna go into the rest of the teams in the National league as I believe that this race has already been won.

National league pennant

Bet on the New York Mets = 3.75

American League Pennant

Bet on the LA Angels = 5.50

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World Series

Bet on the New York Mets = 8.00
Bet on the LA Angels = 10.00

Its looking really good for all of us who wagered on these.
Overall, its been an amazing year of baseball on a day to day basis.
It pays to own all the baseball chanel's.
You gotta watch if you'e gonna be wagering cash.
Or at least you have to take advice from someone who's watching.

[W.HI.P]

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LA Angels vs Seattle Mariners
E.Santana - F.Hernandez

Felix is way too good to be paying this much.

Bet on the Seattle Mariners

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[W.HI.P]

^^^That^^^ game went through, as Seattle won on the high price.

NFL Pre-season

Keep in mind that these are exhibition match-ups.
A team will play 1-2 drives with their starters and continue with their second and third string players.
Overall, the home team should have the advantage as far as the win is concerned.
Teams who have competition within for various position will play with greater effort.
Teams who rely on one superstar player should have a negative record in this pre-season.
I avoid wagering heavy money in the pre-season, I will give you one game though:

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San Fransisco 49ers vs Green Bay Packers

Things are looking very exciting in San Fransisco as the team is full of young talent.
The Packers on the other hand, finally got rid of the old man, and now can focus on the future.
Green Bay's year will see them in last place in their division.
The odds are even here, so we'll jump on the home side.

Bet on the San Fransisco 49ers

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Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays
Byrd - Halladay

lol @ the Blue Jays being favorites in Boston.

Bet on the Boston Red Sox

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[W.HI.P]

The 49ers killed the Packers, while Toronto beat the Sox.

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Texas Rangers vs Tampa Bay Rays
Nippert - Kazmir

This is not the time to be betting on the Rays with Crawford and Longoria out of the line up.
The Rays should be just below .500 in this next week, but they will be winning while Kazmir is pitching, as he is of the absolute elite.

Bet on the Tampa Bay Rays

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Tampa Bay Bucs vs New England Patriots

The 2nd half will be dominated by the Bucs as they are clearly superior with the rest of their lines.... The Patriots are out-matched.

Bet on the Tampa Bay Bucs

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[W.HI.P]

Both Tampa Bay teams won!
The Bucs beat up on the Patriots 25-10.
The Rays opened up a 4.5 game lead with their 7-4 win in Texas.

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New York Giants vs Clevland Browns

If there is one team that i would say is the most well rounded team in the NFL, its the Browns.
They have the edge in most of these match-ups against the Giants.
Clevland's win pays a pretty penny!

Bet on the Clevland Browns

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[W.HI.P]

NFL 2008-2009 Season

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AFC
East

The New England Patriots are not being pushed so far by the media, so thats a positive.
What makes me wager on this division is the hype on Favre moving to New York.
The Jets should be 2-4 by week 6.
Reality holds the Buffalo Bills as the Patriots main opponents.
Miami is under construction.

Bet on the Buffalo Bills = 12.00

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North

This is probably the best long term bet for this season as the Clevland Browns have no opponent.
The Bengals seem like the best of the rest, with their potent offence.
Their defence is still weak against the run, bu their thieving style defence should pay off in some games this year.
The Steelers defence remains solid, but the same can't be said about their OL which looks amongst the weakest in the game.
The Ravens are a question mark as far as their attack is concerned.
To me it looks kinda weak.

Bet on the Clevland Browns = 2.80

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South

I've been very accurate with the Colts over the past 2 years, and yes they remain the favorites.
The Jacksonville Jaguars finally seem capable of winning this division.
I'm still hesitant on how well they will do with the ball, but their defence is the best of this division.
Houston will do well this year, but i'm not sure if they're ready to challenge for this division quite yet.
The Titans IMO will be the dispointment of this season.
They may hold some key players, but overall they seem to lack in too many positions.

Bet on the Jacksonville Jaguars = 3.00

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West

The San Diego Chargers are capable of winning the superbowl, let alone this division, but the price is not attractive.
This year, if Tomlinson misses some time, they do not have Turner to back him up anymore.
Should the Chargers face problems this year, 1st place would be open for the Oakland Raiders!
Darren Mcfadden is ready to run over the NFL, and JaMarcus Russell despite lacking key recievers on this Raiders team will have an amazing career in the NFL.
The defence is solid...the Raiders will easily be the most improved team in football.
You can't expect the Broncos to improve too much as the huge holes remain.
The Chiefs have become a laughing stock in my eyes after signing Johnson to that unworthy contract.
The OL just keeps getting weaker, and I'm not too sure they can stop the run.... thats not a good thing when you have to face Tomlinson and Mcfadden, each on 2 occasions.

Bet on the Oakland Raiders = 11.00

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NFC
East

I've been accused of underestimating the Dallas Cowboys.
They are the heavy favorites here.
I'm an Eagles fan that is not optimistic this year.
Mostly because of the stiff competition in the division.
The Giants, although loosing key players, have made a few additions and will remain competitive.
The team that keeps making the right moves are the Washington Redskins. Their offence is better, but its the defence that has become a heavy weight, and should put them into the play-offs!

Bet on the Washington Redskins = 7.00

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North

This division is very weak.
If you want to bet on the Minnesota Vikings, go ahead, they will probably win this division as Adrian Peterson is unstopable.
The price is too low for me given the fact that their pass defence is weak.
Its hard to say what team can compete this year from this division, but I will jump on the two highest prices as all teams have weak spots within.

Bet on the Chicago Bears = 5.00
Bet on the Detroit lions = 7.50

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South

This is probably not a wise bet as the price is low, and the defence is full of holes.
Its the New Orlean Saints offence that makes me bet on this as Brees will inevitably have an amazing year with his multiple tools.
The offence should be so effective on short passes that it will rest this full of holes defence of theirs.
The competition isn't bad with the Panthers and Bucs.
The Falcons are far behind.

Bet on the New Orlean Saints = 2.10

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West

I don't believe the Seahawks can win this division.
Its a weak division as the Rams are also under par.
Although neither team look capable of going far into the play-offs, Arizona has the tools, and the 49ers are the future of this division.

Bet on the Arizona Cardinals = 3.25
Bet on the San Fransisco 49ers = 7.00

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AFC Conference

There are teams that are more capable of winning the AFC, but the value of winning with one of the following is very high.
I'm taking a gamble for some great profit this year.


Bet on the Clevland Browns = 17.00
Bet on the Oakland Raiders = 81.00

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NFC Conference

This conference is weak.

Bet on the New Orlean Saints = 9.00
Bet on the Washington Redskins = 15.00

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Superbowl

Don't get me wrong... the Chargers and Vikings are probably more capable of winning it.... I'm sure most of you have the Patriots and Cowboys on your minds.

Save your serious money for later on in the season when things will be more clear, for now, place some coins on some long shots as their value will drop should they do what I expect of them.

Bet on the New Orlean Saints = 21.00
Bet on the Washington Redskins = 34.00
Bet on the Clevland Browns = 34.00
Bet on the Oakland Raiders = 126.00

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[W.HI.P]

NFL 2008-2009 Position Analysis

Quarter-Back

1)Drew Brees (New Orlean Saints)
He's far from being the best in the NFL, but his weapons are perfectly fit to match his abilities.
At the end of the season his numbers will certainly show him to be the most accurate Quarterback in the game.

2)Peyton Manning (Indianapolis Colts)
There is no doubt... he is the greater active QB in the game.
His tools are not the same, but Antony Gonzales should provide him with some favourable match-ups, and Addai has been working on the catch.

3)Tom Brady (New England Patriots)
The reason why this guy even looks remotely good, is his OL, which is clearly the best pass protecting line in the game.
The Patriots easy schedule should rank him as high as #3 this year.

4)Derek Anderson (Clevland Browns)
A pretty high ranking for someone who may not last the whole year given the fat that an amazing Quinn is waiting for his turn.
Derek's tools are of the absolute elite which will result in him shining even more this season.

5)Tony Romo (Dallas Cowboys)
His fast release is what has got him here.
I can't say he'll have the best season, but he still holds some solid options.

6)Carson Palmer (Cincinatti Bengals)
I may be wrong ranking him so low, as he is capable of going top 3.

7)Eli Manning (New York Giants)
If you had asked me 2 years ago, i would have told you that this guy won't be in the top 20, but the truth is, he has evolved.
He really is good, his tools are less than the ones above him.

8)Phillip Rivers (San Diego Chargers)
Poor guy, he's got Gates, but every other option is basically covered by a greater CB.

9)Donovan McNabb (Philadelphia Eagles)
Something tells me that he's actually gonna make it through the season this time.
He's top of the line, but his options are not so solid.

10)Jason Campell (Washington Redskins)
I think we're gonna see a whole different style of play this year from this Redskins offence.
That constant running game is gonna turn into 50/50.

Running Backs

1)Darren McFadden (Oakland Raiders)
Yeah yeah, I know... he's 20 years old.
I'm telling you, this guy can do it all.
He's the fastest guy out there.
He's tough.
He can catch.
He can throw.
Just watch! lol

2)Adrian Peterson (Minnesota Vikings)
If you weren't watching last year, than you really don't know.
This guy will go down as one of the best of all time.

3)LaDainian Tomlinson (San Diego Chargers)
When this guy came to the NFL, I thought that he would never be surpassed.

4)Brian Westbrook (Philadelphia Eagles)
Brian is the best reciever McNabb's got.
He will have some competition from Darren in that category this season though.

5)Marshawn Lynch (Buffalo Bills)
This should be his year!

6)Clinton Portis (Washington Redskins)
He deserves a ring, and should get one this year.

7)Brandon Jacobs (New York Giants)
He remains elite, and will carry the Giants this season.

8)Steven Jackson (St.Louis Rams)
He's consistent, but i've got a feeling that the Rams will need him too much this season, and its gonna cost them.

9)Frank Gore (San Fransisco 49ers)
He won't be as good as 2 years ago, but he'll be much better than last year.

10)Joseph Addai (Indianapolis Colts)
He's being doing a lot of work in the recieving category and should ranked #3 in that stat by the end of the season.

Wide Recievers

1)Braylon Edwards (Clevland Browns)
There is no doubt in my mind.
He's the best in the game.

2)Andre Johnson (Houston Texans)
His numbers will get better this year as Houston gets even better as a whole.

3)Terrell Owens (Dallas Cowboys)
One of the best after the catch.
Great chemistry with Tony.

4)Steve Smith (Carolina Panthers)
He'd be ranked higher on another team.
He is an incredible athlete!

5)Randy Moss (New England Patriots)
He's a jerk for dropping the ball a thousand times with the Raiders.
He had his season last year.
He will be good again, but he's far from being as good as the ones above him.

6)Marques Colston (New Orlean Saints)
What a season this guys gonna have!
He'll be open most of the time as any defence will have to be considering all the other options on this rich offence.

6)Larry Fitzgerald (Arizona Cardinals)
He's proven himself time and time again.
He is amongst the absolute elite.

7)Chad Johnson (Cincinatti Bengals)
I'm probably gonna be pulling my hair later for ranking him so low.
Carson and Chad can make magic happen.

8)Roy Williams (Detroit Lions)
The lions schedule see's him playing plenty of games against weak CB's.
His numbers are gonna look good.

9)T.J Houshmandzadeh (Cincinatti Bengals)
It pays to have Palmer throwing to you.
Lets not forget he'll be #2 behind Chad.
He'll have a lot of favourable match-ups.

10)Lee Evans (Buffalo Bills)
This guy will be top 10 at the end of the season.

Tight Ends

1)Antonio Gates (San Diego Chargers)
The Tiger Woods of Tight Ends.

2)Kellen Winslow (Clevland Browns)
Best of the rest

3)Jason Witten (Dallas Cowboys)
He takes the Cowboys Offence to another level.

4)Chris Cooley (Washington Redskins)
This guy just keeps getting better!

5)Jeremy Shockey (New Orlean Saints)
If he stays healthy, he'll be ranked #3 in the end.

Defence

1)San Diego Chargers
Wherever you look in this defence, you'll find superstars.

2)Jacksonville Jaguars
Heavy hitting team.
The whole game-plan compliments this defence.

3)Chicago Bears
They're still the best, but their offence does not allow this defence to rest enough to play at its best.

4)Washington Redskins
They spent years building the backs.
They've just added a monster to the front.

5)Minnesota Vikings
Its silly ranking them in the top 5 as they can't stop the pass.
Their run defence is top of the line.
Add the fact that Adrian is running in the offence and you've got one of the most rested defences in the game.....their numbers will look good.

[W.HI.P]

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NY Giants(-3.5) vs Washington Redskins

The 2008 Superbowl Champions against the potential 2009 Superbowl Winner.
Clearly the Redskins have improved and are now superior to the Giants.

Bet on the Washington Redskins

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[W.HI.P]

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Cincinatti Bengals(-1.5) @ Baltimore Ravens

I'm hesitant on this game as I'm still uncertain how this Ravens offence can preform.
The Ravens should be able to run the ball in this one.
The Bengals offence has a tough task against this defence.
I will place a few coins on the Bengals, but i will avoid giving the reco.

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New York Jets(-4.5) @ Maimi Dolphins

I'm going to avoid this one as well, even though I think Miami can get the straight out win.

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Kansas City Chiefs @ New England Patriots(-16.5)

The Chiefs are weaker than they've ever been.
The spread is too big to take though.

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Houston Texans @ Pittsburgh Steelers(-6.5)

Here's a good bet!
The Texans are easily the superior team here.
Watch how effective their pass rush will be.
The Texans will score as well, despite the Steelers solid defence.

Bet on the Houston Texans

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Jacksonville Jaguars(-3.5) @ Tennessee Titans

I will place a few coins on the Jaguars, but 3.5 points is a very tricky spread in Tennessee.

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Detroit Lions @ Atlanta Falcons

I already have a little money on the Lions, but you have to fear the Falcons running game in this one.

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Seattle Seahawks vs Buffalo Bills(-2.5)

Here's a little gift!
The Bills are by far superior on every level.
2.5 points should not be a factor.
This is a miss-match.

Bet on the Buffalo Bills

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Tampa Bay Bucs vs New Orlean Saints(-3.5)

This appears to be an easy win for the Saints, and I do have a little money on them.
I still hold a few questions on this Bucs team, both on offence and defence.
I'm gonna have to avoid giving this one.

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St.Louis Rams @ Philadelphia Eagles(-8.5)

YEY, My Eagles should get the win here!
I hope my team proves me wrong, as I can't imagine how they'll avoid 4th place in their division.

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Dallas Cowboys(-6.5) vs Clevland Browns

Best bet of the week!
Are you kidding me?
The Cowboys are 6.5 point favorites? ...In Clevland?
This will be a win for the Browns or my screen name ain't W.HI.P

Bet on the Clevland Browns

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Carolina Panthers @ San Diego Chargers

The Chargers are probably the best team in the NFL.
A win is a win, 8.5 points is too much for my taste.

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Arizona Cardinals(-3.0) @ San Fransisco 49ers

I'll be watching very closely for their future games.

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Chicago Bears @ Indianapolis Colts(-9.5)

The Colts are elite, but for some reason, I think they're not gonna have a good year.

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Minnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers(-2.5)

I'm very suprised to see the Packers as the favorites here.
I would expect the Vikings to be at least 6.5 point favorites.

Bet on the Minnesota Vikings

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Denver Broncos(-3.5) @ Oakland Raiders

Just take this free money!

Bet on the Oakland Raiders

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