Their Perspective

[xoxoxoBruce]

Originally posted by Arctic Wind


Even CIA recognizes in its reports that in around 20 years the economy of China will equate the USA's. Furthermore I can bet that China will develop (and it already does so) its military capabilities closely following its economic growth.

All these multinational companies investing in China to take advantage of the cheap labor and lax environmental policy are in for a rude awakening. They think they will have the inside track to the huge Chinese market as China prospers and of course they have patents on the products. Nationalism will rear it's ugly head, these companies will be out and the countries they abandoned will have lost their manufacturing capacity. China will be self sustaining with no reason to be the aggressor. Except for North Korea, which has now developed ICBM's with a 9500 mile range.

Rusia, although today is weaken, has still military technology and will allways have nuclear weapons and huge quantities of raw materials, including oil.

Therefore no reason to be the aggressor, if they get their political shit together.

Europe itself will be pushed toward renouncing or undermining (to) NATO and to build its own military structure if USA will continue to take such unilateral decisions like in the Irak file. And here I mentioned only three other big players of the world.

Europe will be like Canada with France like Quebec. Think healthy athlete with severe hemorrhoids, noncompetetive.

In other words, United States are dealing now with an increasingly multipolar world, regardless if they like it or not. Being a superpower for a short period of time (historically speaking), USA will have to choose between "transforming" its world competitors (like China and Europe) into partners or into hostile (even enemy) rivals. The difference between these two options is enormous and it would be possible to clearly see it in the coming future (after 2-3 decades I would say). My warning is that, if America will continue to ignore the others and even its European Allies in taking major decisions, first it will remain alone on the international stage and second, when, in some decades, it will no longer be the only superpower but an equal or even worse of the others (of China for example) it will definitely have to pay for its past arrogance. It will be the price for creating enemies and not partners.

Europe will never be a threat. Russia will never be a problem unless the US sides with them against India or China which would be stupid on our part, but could happen. I don't see why we should be at odds with China since I don't believe they will be aggressive, but insular. Of course Japan or Korea could influence this in a very negative way. Of course if I could really predict the future, I'd play the lottery.

I have to mention I'm an European who considers himself as a Friend and Ally of USA and it's people, Europe and United States being Brothers through powerful ties as Blood, Culture and History. Meanwhile, I can't agree the way United States treated its ally and friend, Europe, in problems like the Irak file, through unilateral decisions and not through common agreement as whithin an alliance everyone should act. Further more, I appreciate that the contemporary international American policy will hurt USA as much as Europe. I thank you for your attention and I wait for your reactions.

There can never be unilateral decisions with Europe until you get your hemorroids under control.

Wind, you write an excellent post. Disregard my previous post about your English. You write like you graduated from Harvard.. oh...excuse me...Oxford. It's a pleasure to read your contributions.