![]() |
|
Current Events Help understand the world by talking about things happening in it |
![]() |
|
Thread Tools | Display Modes |
![]() |
#1 |
™
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Arlington, VA
Posts: 27,717
|
The most interesting news story today.
I figured I would start this thread for stuff that doesn't belong in weird news and also isn't quite big enough to deserve a thread of its own.
Today, I nominate this story in today's paper about China's strategic oil reserves. My TL/DR summary is that China claims its oil reserves are at a certain level. Some other independent dudes took a look at commercially available satellite imagery. They counted oil tanks in China and measured the width of a crescent shaped shadow cast onto the roof of each tank by the tank's wall. This tells them how much the floating roof is sunk, and therefor how full the tank is. Then they calculate it all up and came up with a very big number. China claims 287 million barrels of reserves, and these guys came up with 600 million barrels of reserves. China says it is aiming for a reserve that would equal 100 days of imports, but is only at 36 days currently. This independent estimate puts them at around 70 days. The US has a 150 day reserve. What does all this mean to you? Well, the price of oil is fairly low right now but it is higher than it should be because China is working actively on building up its reserves and will continue to do that for some time. They are creating an artificial demand. Once they stop buying all that excess oil, the price of oil will plummet. I leave to the reader's imagination what that will mean. Low gas prices, collapsing local economies in oil fields, deflation, who knows? I don't. But I think it's interesting. |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#2 |
The future is unwritten
Join Date: Oct 2002
Posts: 71,105
|
When China takes over the whole South China Sea area they'll have plenty.
__________________
The descent of man ~ Nixon, Friedman, Reagan, Trump. |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#3 |
UNDER CONDITIONAL MITIGATION
Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: Austin, TX
Posts: 20,012
|
But it's the logical thing to do, right? Buy more when the price is low? If they say they have 36 but want 100, then they want three times what they have, meaning 210ish in real life. Surely that will continue to take them awhile. OPEC's goal is to bankrupt Venezuela with this price war, is my understanding. Will that happen before the Chinese have their fill and stop buying extra?
|
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#4 |
™
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Arlington, VA
Posts: 27,717
|
The bottom of the article adds that experts estimate that China is importing 0.6 to 1.2 million barrels a day more than what they need. So that's a year or two depending on China's actual goal.
|
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#5 |
barely disguised asshole, keeper of all that is holy.
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 23,401
|
From the "While you weren't paying attention" or the "While you were being distracted" files.
Interesting stuff. Not sure how this will impact things here, but it will certainly decrease a lot of revenues across the board and I'd imagine the money needed to fund environmentally-friendly innovative alternatives.
__________________
"like strapping a pillow on a bull in a china shop" Bullitt |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#6 | |
I love it when a plan comes together.
Join Date: Oct 2009
Posts: 9,793
|
Start checking your pennies Clod:
Quote:
|
|
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
#7 |
I can hear my ears
Join Date: Oct 2003
Posts: 25,571
|
Lucky you. I like it
__________________
This body holding me reminds me of my own mortality Embrace this moment, remember We are eternal, all this pain is an illusion ~MJKeenan |
![]() |
![]() |
![]() |
Currently Active Users Viewing This Thread: 1 (0 members and 1 guests) | |
|
|