What's more current than the weather? - Page 135

Griff · 12-26-2019, 07:24 AM

purty though

Undertoad · 12-29-2019, 12:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Undertoad, pointing out that RCP8.5 is unlikely

RCP 8.5 "assumes the fastest population growth (a doubling of Earth’s population to 12 billion), the lowest rate of technology development, slow GDP growth, a massive increase in world poverty, plus high energy use and emissions."

World poverty is decreasing rapidly... innovation in solar and storage and efficiency continue. Emissions in developed countries are kinda flat.

NY Mag Intelligencer now agrees, with a very thorough and well-researched article: We’re Getting a Clearer Picture of the Climate Future — and It’s Not as Bad as It Once Looked.

It finds that RCP8.5 is now highly unlikely, in light of a new International Energy Agency report which puts warming at, most likely, about 3 degrees by end of 2100.

Author has conversations with climate scientists about this, and from his POV, there's a developing consensus on it (bold mine):

Quote:

I’ve spent the last few weeks trying to wrap my head around all of this, speaking with energy analysts and climate scientists (including Hausfather) about just what these projections mean for our understanding of where we are headed. Nearly every one has told me the IEA projections, while limited in ways, nevertheless represent a more plausible projection of the medium-term energy future than is contained in RCP8.5. Most — though not all — told me that they did not see RCP8.5 as a plausible scenario, even in the absence of meaningful climate policy. Honestly, this surprised me; while objections to RCP8.5 have been around for a decade or more, those who view it skeptically now seem to outnumber those who see it as useful — at least as a vision of a “business as usual” future.

This doesn't mean it's not a problem; three degrees of warming still has a large impact, just not the nightmare scenarios of RCP8.5.

tw · 12-29-2019, 02:44 PM

So don't worry; be happy.

sexobon · 12-29-2019, 05:48 PM

Let the sunshine, let the sunshine in, the sunshine in
Let the sunshine, let the sunshine in, the sunshine in
Let the sunshine, let the sunshine in,…

Gravdigr · 12-29-2019, 07:55 PM

I'll take an order of Sunshine, please.

Damn moist here lately...

Luce · 12-30-2019, 08:52 AM

35 damn degrees in Tucson.

I moved here specifically because I was told it was warm.

Griff · 12-30-2019, 09:24 AM

Moisture issues here as well. At least it's warmer than Tucson... /s I want my ski mountain back!

Gravdigr · 12-30-2019, 03:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Luce

35 damn degrees in Tucson.

I moved here specifically because I was told it was warm.

It's a dry heat.

Luce · 12-30-2019, 03:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gravdigr

It's a dry heat.

I love that line.

When it's 120F, it doesn't matter what kind of heat it is.

Gravdigr · 12-30-2019, 07:53 PM

Heard some comedian say "That's like getting hit by a bus, and someone saying "Yeah, but it's a dry bus"."

Gravdigr · 01-11-2020, 10:24 AM

The wind and the rain.

OMG, the wind and the rain.

Griff · 01-11-2020, 11:01 AM

Yeah, fucked pattern right now.

fargon · 01-11-2020, 12:04 PM

21F on my patio rite now, mostly sunny.

monster · 01-11-2020, 12:32 PM

So. Much. Rain. Up to about three inches so far, I heard. Ran a 5K in it this morning, it was ankle deep. If it was falling as snow, though, we'd be beyond buried right now, so there's that.

xoxoxoBruce · 01-12-2020, 12:07 AM

Saturday and Sunday near 70 with rain overnight. The yard is very squishy.

12-26-2019, 07:24 AM	#2011
Griff still says videotape Join Date: Feb 2001 Posts: 26,813	purty though __________________ If you would only recognize that life is hard, things would be so much easier for you. - Louis D. Brandeis

12-29-2019, 07:55 PM	#2015
Gravdigr The Un-Tuckian Join Date: Apr 2007 Location: South Central...KY that is Posts: 39,517	I'll take an order of Sunshine, please. Damn moist here lately... __________________ These statements have not been evaluated by the FDA, EPA, FBI, DEA, CDC, or FDIC. These statements are not intended to diagnose, cause, treat, cure, or prevent any disease. If you feel you have been harmed/offended by, or, disagree with any of the above statements or images, please feel free to fuck right off.

12-30-2019, 08:52 AM	#2016
Luce Weaponized Funk Join Date: Nov 2019 Location: Arizona Posts: 446	35 damn degrees in Tucson. I moved here specifically because I was told it was warm. __________________ Finagle's Law takes no prisoners.

12-30-2019, 09:24 AM	#2017
Griff still says videotape Join Date: Feb 2001 Posts: 26,813	Moisture issues here as well. At least it's warmer than Tucson... /s I want my ski mountain back! __________________ If you would only recognize that life is hard, things would be so much easier for you. - Louis D. Brandeis

12-30-2019, 07:53 PM	#2020
Gravdigr The Un-Tuckian Join Date: Apr 2007 Location: South Central...KY that is Posts: 39,517	Heard some comedian say "That's like getting hit by a bus, and someone saying "Yeah, but it's a dry bus"." __________________ These statements have not been evaluated by the FDA, EPA, FBI, DEA, CDC, or FDIC. These statements are not intended to diagnose, cause, treat, cure, or prevent any disease. If you feel you have been harmed/offended by, or, disagree with any of the above statements or images, please feel free to fuck right off.

12-29-2019, 02:44 PM	#2013
tw Read? I only know how to write. Join Date: Jan 2001 Posts: 11,933	So don't worry; be happy.

12-29-2019, 05:48 PM	#2014
sexobon I love it when a plan comes together. Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 9,793	Let the sunshine, let the sunshine in, the sunshine in Let the sunshine, let the sunshine in, the sunshine in Let the sunshine, let the sunshine in,…

01-11-2020, 10:24 AM	#2021
Gravdigr The Un-Tuckian Join Date: Apr 2007 Location: South Central...KY that is Posts: 39,517	The wind and the rain. OMG, the wind and the rain. __________________ These statements have not been evaluated by the FDA, EPA, FBI, DEA, CDC, or FDIC. These statements are not intended to diagnose, cause, treat, cure, or prevent any disease. If you feel you have been harmed/offended by, or, disagree with any of the above statements or images, please feel free to fuck right off.

01-11-2020, 11:01 AM	#2022
Griff still says videotape Join Date: Feb 2001 Posts: 26,813	Yeah, fucked pattern right now. __________________ If you would only recognize that life is hard, things would be so much easier for you. - Louis D. Brandeis

01-11-2020, 12:04 PM	#2023
fargon Person who doesn't update the user title Join Date: Dec 2005 Location: La Crosse, WI Posts: 8,924	21F on my patio rite now, mostly sunny. __________________ Annoy the ones that ignore you!!! I live a blessed life I Love my Country, I Fear the Government!!! Heavily medicated for the good of mankind.

01-11-2020, 12:32 PM	#2024
monster I hear them call the tide Join Date: Dec 2005 Location: Perpetual Chaos Posts: 30,852	So. Much. Rain. Up to about three inches so far, I heard. Ran a 5K in it this morning, it was ankle deep. If it was falling as snow, though, we'd be beyond buried right now, so there's that. __________________ The most difficult thing is the decision to act, the rest is merely tenacity Amelia Earhart

01-12-2020, 12:07 AM	#2025
xoxoxoBruce The future is unwritten Join Date: Oct 2002 Posts: 71,105	Saturday and Sunday near 70 with rain overnight. The yard is very squishy. __________________ The descent of man ~ Nixon, Friedman, Reagan, Trump.

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